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-   -   NL200 - Monster Draw vs. Donkey, Questionable Fold Equity... (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=461525)

The Eureka Kid 07-26-2007 04:55 PM

NL200 - Monster Draw vs. Donkey, Questionable Fold Equity...
 
I can't find a Cake Poker converter anywhere, maybe someone can PM me if they have one. The villian in this hand is nothing short of crazy. I've made a note on him earlier in the session that he called a half stack's all-in (in a pre-flop raised pot) with A2o on a rainbow board of AJ7. When he comes over the top of me for such a huge raise on the flop I'm not exactly giving him credit for a set or two pair, so my hand figures to be favourite (maybe my queen is even live). However, I'm not sure if I have any fold equity whatsoever. Is this still a situation where you are pushing or are you waiting for a better spot than stacking off on a coin flip when you've only invested $20? Thanks!

Hand Summary
I raise 4x bb in MP with AdQd, called only by the villian in the BB. Flop a gutshot and nut flush draw with ace overcard. Villian checks to me, I bet about 3/4 pot, villian re-raises a massive overbet of about 5x the pot (effectively half stack). Now what?

Seat 1: shangshong (200.00 in chips)
Seat 2: pokerkiller (50.35 in chips)
Seat 3: WeetBixKid (236.75 in chips)
Seat 4: highriser009 (212.95 in chips)
Seat 5: Acid Rain (174.25 in chips)
Seat 6: TexasTornado (88.95 in chips)
Seat 7: barrgoo (84.30 in chips)
Seat 8: VonRhett (361.50 in chips)
Seat 9: dontdoit56 (359.95 in chips)
Seat 10: Unicron1975 (154.20 in chips)
VonRhett: posts small blind $1
dontdoit56: posts big blind $2

Dealt to WeetBixKid [ Ad Qd ]

Unicron1975: folds
shangshong: folds
pokerkiller: folds
WeetBixKid: raises to $8
highriser009: folds
Acid Rain: folds
TexasTornado: folds
barrgoo: folds
VonRhett: folds
dontdoit56: calls

*** FLOP *** [ Kd, Th, 3d. ]

dontdoit56: checks
WeetBixKid: bets $13
dontdoit56: raises to $102
WeetBixKid: ??????????????

therealpk 07-26-2007 05:08 PM

Re: NL200 - Monster Draw vs. Donkey, Questionable Fold Equity...
 
On this flop, I usually find myself insta-shoving. IMO, a big part of his range is a smaller flush draw, but with an over card and maybe a live Q, you couldn't get me to fold those cards. Obviously even if he has 333 or something like that, you have lots of outs.

mertzo 07-26-2007 05:11 PM

Re: NL200 - Monster Draw vs. Donkey, Questionable Fold Equity...
 
Wuut just shove

TheChad 07-26-2007 05:29 PM

Re: NL200 - Monster Draw vs. Donkey, Questionable Fold Equity...
 
yeah, stick it all in. High variance, but def fun IMO. This is my GAMBOOOOOLLL!!!

pokeracer 07-27-2007 09:50 AM

Re: NL200 - Monster Draw vs. Donkey, Questionable Fold Equity...
 
Hide the names :P

ReptileHouse 07-27-2007 11:40 AM

Re: NL200 - Monster Draw vs. Donkey, Questionable Fold Equity...
 
You have 12 nut outs and an overcard. That's definitely a monster draw, and I don't have a problem getting it in here against all but the nittiest of nits.

I love these hands. Gamboooooooolllll!!!! Tilts people unbelievably when you hit, especially if it's one of the jacks.

The Eureka Kid 07-27-2007 10:22 PM

Re: NL200 - Monster Draw vs. Donkey, Questionable Fold Equity...
 
Does your answer change if I have Qd9d or Jd9d? Then there is a possibility he has a higher flush draw.

poker12 07-27-2007 10:24 PM

Re: NL200 - Monster Draw vs. Donkey, Questionable Fold Equity...
 
please shove


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