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-   -   NL200 - fold set to river minraise on drawy board? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=459160)

dirtylobster 07-24-2007 06:03 AM

NL200 - fold set to river minraise on drawy board?
 
What's your line here? C/C or C/F river? Anyone who calls this minraise?

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

Hero (SB): $198.00
BB: $200.00
UTG: $325.85
MP: $102.65
CO: $283.00
BTN: $89.15

Preflop: Hero is dealt 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG calls $2.00, MP folds, CO calls $2.00, <font color="red">BTN raises to $11.00</font>, Hero calls $10.00, 2 folds, CO calls $9.00

Flop: ($37) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players)
Hero checks, CO checks, BTN checks

Turn: ($37) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $26.00</font>, CO calls $26.00, BTN folds

River: ($89) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $54.00</font>, <font color="red">CO raises to $108.00</font>, Hero folds
Uncalled bet of $54.00 returned to CO

Pot Size: $197.00 ($3 Rake)

deaders 07-24-2007 06:14 AM

Re: NL200 - fold set to river minraise on drawy board?
 
Pretty yuck but is he minraising a worse hand here 25% of the time? I think so, so call.

Post reads if you have any.

mythrilfox 07-24-2007 06:14 AM

Re: NL200 - fold set to river minraise on drawy board?
 
you have any reads?

assuming unknown... his line seems strong but you're getting great odds, and i'd call basically hoping to see QTo or Q9o or possibly T9/55. i don't like it but unknowns play weird sometimes.

also kinda hard to put him on a flush here given the turn action.

dirtylobster 07-24-2007 06:18 AM

Re: NL200 - fold set to river minraise on drawy board?
 
OH, sorry, he's running at about 15/10/1, no further reads, just played a few orbits (datamined stats)

kindju 07-24-2007 06:32 AM

Re: NL200 - fold set to river minraise on drawy board?
 
15/10/1 ... I fold you're not ahead 25% of the time.

mythrilfox 07-24-2007 06:42 AM

Re: NL200 - fold set to river minraise on drawy board?
 
ugh that's pretty nitty. i vote fold too.

josh_x 07-24-2007 06:46 AM

Re: NL200 - fold set to river minraise on drawy board?
 
i'd prob call, you only have to win 17% of the time (one of us has misread it, deaders)

deaders 07-24-2007 07:00 AM

Re: NL200 - fold set to river minraise on drawy board?
 
yeah youre right I didnt actually do the math.

RocktheCasbah 07-24-2007 07:00 AM

Re: NL200 - fold set to river minraise on drawy board?
 
Well, whilst reading the post my thought is fold, but I know in practise I'd call here. Against the PF raiser I'd def call, but the CO limps after a limper then calls IP with good odds. My point is the PF raiser has a narrower range and I'm more comfortable playing with him, but the CO could well hold the straight or flush.

Like I said though I dont think I could fold here, but frequently on river if any kind of draw hits I check-call to avoid being raised, plus you induce a few bluffs

KCrow 07-24-2007 07:27 AM

Re: NL200 - fold set to river minraise on drawy board?
 
What do are peoples views on checking the river and calling anything up to $40. I'd hope to see 55s or Q9, QT and 9T are possibilities but I don't see why the villain would have checked them on the flop with all the possible draws.


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