NL25: Can i possibly fold to this shove against this villian with AQ?
 

Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.10/$0.25 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $21.20
BB: $31.88
UTG: $25.00
MP: $24.65
CO: $77.74
Hero (BTN): $26.23

Reads: <font color="blue">35/20/2.5 (130 hands) Seems to be a little too loose in his calling range especially.</font>

Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (6 Players)
2 folds, <font color="red">CO raises to $1.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $3.25</font>, 2 folds, CO calls $2.25

Flop: ($6.85) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
CO checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $4.50</font>, <font color="red">CO raises to $74.48</font>, Hero has a though decision




possible range of villian here?

i think AT+;99-QQ. KK and AA will be 4bet preflop I guess.

Pokerstove:

Board: 9d Js Ac
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 49.535% 42.35% 07.19% 18027 3060.00 { AdQd }
Hand 1: 50.465% 43.28% 07.19% 18423 3060.00 { QQ-99, ATs+, ATo+ }


I think it's REALLY REALLY close for this to be a ev+ call.

Thoughts?

Re: NL25: Can i possibly fold to this shove against this villian with
 

what he's been like postflop? Has he been pushing TP before?

Re: NL25: Can i possibly fold to this shove against this villian with
 

can't really tell. The stats are all the info i have on this villian.

Re: NL25: Can i possibly fold to this shove against this villian with AQ?
 

All you beat is a bluff and AT. -EV without a good read imo.

Re: NL25: Can i possibly fold to this shove against this villian with AQ?
 

Since he's probably not doing this with QQ or TT, I think your range may be a little off.

Edit: However, if you really were a coinflip versus this push, then you would have a super-easy call.

Re: NL25: Can i possibly fold to this shove against this villian with AQ?
 

why would he not push this with TT or QQ? Is he to passive for that in your opinion? This is really 1 of my leaks in my game. I mean if he is a bunch more agressive then this would be a instacall right?

Re: NL25: Can i possibly fold to this shove against this villian with
 

Based on the information given, this is an easy fold.

Re: NL25: Can i possibly fold to this shove against this villian with
 

you don´t have to be a flip shough to make this +ev

Re: NL25: Can i possibly fold to this shove against this villian with
 

I don't think tens or queens are not in his range at all unless he is a superdonk and I doubt AT is there either

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

26,730 games 0.005 secs 5,346,000 games/sec

Board: 9d Js Ac
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 23.530% 12.77% 10.76% 3414 2875.50 { AdQd }
Hand 1: 76.470% 65.71% 10.76% 17565 2875.50 { AA, JJ, 99, AJs+, AJo+ }

So this is an easy fold for me

Re: NL25: Can i possibly fold to this shove against this villian with
 

I dont believe in strong shoves [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] I call, KK would be my guess.