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-   -   3/6: 66 turn decision (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=454880)

moira 07-19-2007 04:44 AM

3/6: 66 turn decision
 
Villain is 21/13/4 and I think he is getting a little frustrated with me. I think he is capable of firing two barrells with AK, AQs etc.
What play do you recommend?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $6 BB (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

BB ($710.25)
UTG ($821.22)
Button ($1)
Hero ($1,062.90)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $15</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $65</font>, Hero calls $53.

Flop: ($136) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">BB bets $90</font>, Hero calls $90.

Turn: ($316) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">BB bets $225</font>, Hero?

liverdracon 07-19-2007 05:02 AM

Re: 3/6: 66 turn decision
 
maybe i'm weak, but i would fold the turn. You will find a better spot to stack him. You can't call here, as he will probably push the river, when he's frustrated. You cant' even be sure if your oesd is clean.

FooSH 07-19-2007 05:14 AM

Re: 3/6: 66 turn decision
 
All-in. He probably calls with Adx and most overpairs with a [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], even so your either ahead or have outs. A made flush could be a problem but thats only a tiny fraction of his range.

One thing you will do is fold out lots of other stuff thats beating you or could get there on the river (weaker overpairs, Overcards with no [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] etc.)

Hattifnatt 07-19-2007 05:15 AM

Re: 3/6: 66 turn decision
 
fold &gt; push &gt; call

GoldenIP 07-19-2007 05:24 AM

Re: 3/6: 66 turn decision
 
In that hand:
Hand 0: 53.776% 53.78% { 6d6s }
Hand 1: 46.224% 46.22% { TT+, AQs+, AQo+ }

I'm sure his range could be a fraction wider but just wanted some quick numbers. Ignoring the stats, I probably fold this 50% of the time and push 50% of the time. Really depends on my own image, his image, how I even feel...

I don't hate a push. I don't hate a fold. I HATE a call.

emil3000 07-19-2007 05:38 AM

Re: 3/6: 66 turn decision
 
I fold a lot here.

paulnic 07-19-2007 05:52 AM

Re: 3/6: 66 turn decision
 
totally player dependant imo. some players i would shove here others i would fold pre flop, flop and turn... the way u have described this vilain he may be on tilt slightly so i would be inclined to shove the turn. quite likely u are facing 2 overs perhaps with 1 big diamond so odds are good for u plus u may have a little fe. i shove.

Grandezza 07-19-2007 06:10 AM

Re: 3/6: 66 turn decision
 
Am I the only one who finds preflop horrible?

moira 07-19-2007 06:21 AM

Re: 3/6: 66 turn decision
 
I folded it, because I felt I have almost no FE and that its a coinflip at best most of the time. If I wouldnt be on a stupid downswing running badly, I might have pushed here.
Preflop is not standard, I just felt I will be able to stack him, if I flop good.

Trivial 07-19-2007 06:46 AM

Re: 3/6: 66 turn decision
 
I shove it in, but folding is fine.


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