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-   -   tuesday mlb plays (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=430814)

riccja 06-19-2007 10:38 AM

tuesday mlb plays
 
Monday we split for a +.09 gain. Cleveland won in a blow out...but San fran was behind the entire game and lost 5-4

Today 2 plays in mlb

Toronto +118
Los Angeles-N: (R) PENNY, B Toronto: (R) McGOWAN, D

St Louis under 10.5 even
Kansas City: (R) ELARTON, S St Louis: (R) THOMPSON, B

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/


Record to date:

MLB(07 Season)
Sides: 32-42 +.99
O/U: 8-8-1 -.05
mlb(06 season,started end of season)
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
WNBA
Sides: 1-1 - .05
Total: 0-1 -1.05
ncaafb (06-07 completed)
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl(06-07 completed)
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 35-36 +6.66
total 4-5 -1.10
Nba
Side 68-58-1 +7.17
sides(2ndHalf) 10-19-1 -9.95
o/u 31-25 +4.98

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14% Return
Feb: 31 bets -6.75 units -21.77% Return
Mar: 40 bets -9.75 units -24.37% Return
April: 34 bets +3.42 units +10.06%Return
May: 49 bets -3.64 units -7.43% Return
JUne: 26 bets +4.11units +15.81% Return
Total 566 Bets + 33.24 units +5.87% Return

riccja 06-19-2007 12:43 PM

Re: tuesday mlb plays
 
Still a bet with wells going for st louis

Deltha 06-19-2007 02:01 PM

Re: tuesday mlb plays
 
I actually liked LA in this game only because Penney is starting? Why do you like Toronto against a 8-1 pitcher?

Spota 06-19-2007 04:01 PM

Re: tuesday mlb plays
 
OP: Why do you like the under in the KC\STL game?

Obviously there is more to o\u than the pitchers ERAs, but Elarton has about a 8.5 and Wells (who is absolutely awful)has about a 7, not to mention his 2-11 record. Last time Elarton and Wells went up against each other the score was 17-8.

This screams over to me, but I am pretty inexperienced and pretty bad at picking MLB o\u.

Deltha 06-19-2007 04:33 PM

Re: tuesday mlb plays
 
[ QUOTE ]
OP: Why do you like the under in the KC\STL game?

Obviously there is more to o\u than the pitchers ERAs, but Elarton has about a 8.5 and Wells (who is absolutely awful)has about a 7, not to mention his 2-11 record. Last time Elarton and Wells went up against each other the score was 17-8.

This screams over to me, but I am pretty inexperienced and pretty bad at picking MLB o\u.

[/ QUOTE ]


he isn't that good either 8-8-1.

New001 06-19-2007 05:20 PM

Re: tuesday mlb plays
 
[ QUOTE ]
I actually liked LA in this game only because Penney is starting? Why do you like Toronto against a 8-1 pitcher?

[/ QUOTE ]
I imagine it has something to do with Penny being 8-1. The true line on this one should probably be something much closer to a coinflip, but Joe Donkalot has no problem laying chalk on the road with an overperforming Dodgers pitcher.

New001 06-19-2007 05:21 PM

Re: tuesday mlb plays
 
[ QUOTE ]
OP: Why do you like the under in the KC\STL game?

Obviously there is more to o\u than the pitchers ERAs, but Elarton has about a 8.5 and Wells (who is absolutely awful)has about a 7, not to mention his 2-11 record. Last time Elarton and Wells went up against each other the score was 17-8.

This screams over to me, but I am pretty inexperienced and pretty bad at picking MLB o\u.

[/ QUOTE ]
Again, this is likely due to those high ERAs rather than in spite of them. Both of those pitchers aren't good, but they aren't as bad as their numbers indicate. I would be very surprised if the true line for this total should be as high as 10.5.

I like both of these plays.

MAC-N-TODD 06-19-2007 06:49 PM

Re: tuesday mlb plays
 
WTF you try and bet on a game and they change from Thompson to Wells and back to Thompson.

TomG 06-19-2007 07:02 PM

Re: tuesday mlb plays
 
See, this is why I always check the "Action" option on my bets! [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

MAC-N-TODD 06-19-2007 07:07 PM

Re: tuesday mlb plays
 
o/u bet no biggie just irritating


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