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-   -   Is this always a set? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=429886)

ddubois 06-18-2007 04:19 AM

Is this always a set?
 
Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Hold'em Cash Game
$3/$6 Blinds
5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

kmoneyk10: $639.55
HibachiMahi: $1,348.70
Hero: $799.00
OMARW: $188.80
pokachump: $577.20

Preflop: Hero is dealt Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (5 Players)
<font color="red">Hero raises to $21.00</font>, OMARW folds, pokachump calls $21.00, kmoneyk10 folds, HibachiMahi calls $15.00

Flop: ($66) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players)
HibachiMahi checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $51.00</font>, pokachump calls $51.00, HibachiMahi folds

Turn: ($168) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $114.00</font>, <font color="red">pokachump raises all-in to $505.20</font>, Hero folds

Maybe trying to figure out what he has is pointless since it's a trivial fold, but it's hard to believe he has aces up here. How often is this something like JsTs?

Jinx 06-18-2007 04:24 AM

Re: Is this always a set?
 
[ QUOTE ]
\ How often is this something like JsTs?

[/ QUOTE ]i'd say around 60% of the time

herbstl 06-18-2007 04:25 AM

Re: Is this always a set?
 
I think thats two pair more often than a set or a straight/flush draw. So easy fold for me but I am weak.

ArturiusX 06-18-2007 05:23 AM

Re: Is this always a set?
 
I usually check the turn.

SinkRox 06-18-2007 05:39 AM

Re: Is this always a set?
 
[ QUOTE ]
I usually check the turn.

[/ QUOTE ]

But don't you often like to bet here as a 2b bluff?

ddubois 06-18-2007 06:03 AM

Re: Is this always a set?
 
Yeah, seems like you have to actually value bet the ace sometimes, if you are going to bluff it.

Rotating Rabbit 06-18-2007 06:08 AM

Re: Is this always a set?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Yeah, seems like you have to actually value bet the ace sometimes, if you are going to bluff it.

[/ QUOTE ]

Surely most of the time in fact.

Darkfolder 06-18-2007 06:18 AM

Re: Is this always a set?
 
I dont believe he is going to show up with a combodraw very often actually. Of course sometimes but NEVER 60% as someone stated. Its probably often something like A8/A9 or a set and I would fold this pretty quick.

Also, the turnbet is good.

Hattifnatt 06-18-2007 06:21 AM

Re: Is this always a set?
 
I prefer a turn check.

captainwacky 06-18-2007 06:30 AM

Re: Is this always a set?
 
i don't like a turn check, but I sure like a fold to the push.... you're not ahead so much except for the straight draws that picked up flush draws, but even still you're going to see a8 or a9 a lot.


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