175 BB deep, hows this bluff? $50-100
 

Opponent is playing 45/35 over 1200 hands, however alot of these hands are off of heads up play. Based on how he was playing I was pretty sure he would raise a set on the flop given our stacks. WIth his 1/2 pot turn bet I really put him on Ax, yet was surprised to see him still call turn. I also expect him to 3 bet turn with a set given how hes played previous hands. WIth all that said, can he call this one pair (which was my read/guess on his hand), or can I even get him to fold a weak 2 pair?

BTW my image isnt too bad, but I think he knows im capable of pulling some moves every once in a while.

Hand #42332120-2947 at Ann Arbor (No Limit Hold'em)
Started at 29/May/07 06:05:35

NioNio is at seat 1 with $5000.
trambopoline is at seat 3 with $17588.
Resolute777 is at seat 4 with $33666.
kid55 is at seat 5 with $8349.
The button is at seat 4.

kid55 posts the small blind of $50.
NioNio posts the big blind of $100.

NioNio: -- --
trambopoline: 4s 6s
Resolute777: -- --
kid55: -- --

Pre-flop:

trambopoline raises to $350. Resolute777 calls.
kid55 folds. NioNio folds.

Flop (board: 4h 2s Ac):

trambopoline bets $550. Resolute777 calls.

Turn (board: 4h 2s Ac 8h):

trambopoline checks. Resolute777 bets $1000.
trambopoline raises to $3650. Resolute777 calls.

River (board: 4h 2s Ac 8h Qs):

trambopoline goes all-in for $13038. (9k pot)

Re: 175 BB deep, hows this bluff? $50-100
 

If he's bad and calls that turn, he'd be hard pressed to fold the river. If he's semi competent then I like it.

Dunno if I give you credit for AQ b/c I don't know if youre thin enough to c/r that turn. But maybe a 44 or a 88

Re: 175 BB deep, hows this bluff? $50-100
 

i don't like this play against this player. I've played with him a lot. I also think your read of him always raising flop with a set is wrong. These are player specific fwiw. You get looked up by A8d, or AQ?

Re: 175 BB deep, hows this bluff? $50-100
 

You're not really representing much, unless theres a dynamic here where he's floating the flop a lot and you're c/ring the turn with a very wide range, including checkraising good aces for value. I'd expect a good hand reader to call you down with any ace pretty often if you've been caught running similar bluffs before but are probably not playing AK like this.