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-   -   1/2 NL stars AA (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=402313)

dchz 05-13-2007 07:07 PM

1/2 NL stars AA
 
villain is 18/10/15 over 200 hands

haven't seen him do much out of line his sn is re-phil86 if you guys know him as a regular

i've been pretty active in LP, but i've had hands but shown none of them down

comments on all streets appreciated

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

<u>SB: $183.65</u>
BB: $409.55
UTG: $257.00
MP: $128.80
<u>Hero (CO): $506.60</u>
<font color="black">BTN: $116.00</font>

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (6 Players)
2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $8.00</font>, BTN calls $8.00, SB calls $7.00, BB folds

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($26) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $20.00</font>, BTN folds, <font color="red">SB raises to $40.00</font>, Hero calls $20.00

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($106) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $56.00</font>, Hero .......?

*** 05-13-2007 07:13 PM

Re: 1/2 NL stars AA
 
Drop it like it's hot. These tiny bets really look like he wants to get paid. There are no reasonable draws here, and if villain is even halfway thinking I don't see him doing this with a jack. I would also expect a 3-bet from QQ/JJ preflop, so to me this seems like exactly a set.

otis_nixon 05-13-2007 07:15 PM

Re: 1/2 NL stars AA
 
I just call the turn, kinda way ahead, way behind, give him a chance to bluff his TT on the river, if he's got you beat on this board you gotta go broke.

Even giving him the most narrow range ever and pretending he can never have TT, a goofy bluff or some kind of slowplay your equity is very good.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 56.854% 56.85% 00.00% 11820 0.00 { AcAs }
Hand 1: 43.146% 43.15% 00.00% 8970 0.00 { QQ-JJ, 99, 55, 33 }

Rainclouds 05-13-2007 07:23 PM

Re: 1/2 NL stars AA
 
If you're pokerstoving you should also include the turn card [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

edit: like this:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 34.848% 34.85% 00.00% 276 0.00 { AcAs }
Hand 1: 65.152% 65.15% 00.00% 516 0.00 { QQ-JJ, 99, 55, 33 }

dchz 05-13-2007 07:24 PM

Re: 1/2 NL stars AA
 
[ QUOTE ]
Drop it like it's hot. These tiny bets really look like he wants to get paid. There are no reasonable draws here, and if villain is even halfway thinking I don't see him doing this with a jack. I would also expect a 3-bet from QQ/JJ preflop, so to me this seems like exactly a set.

[/ QUOTE ]

this is EXACTLY what i thought, but i felt like i don't have a good enough read,

what streets do youp lay differently?

dchz 05-13-2007 07:29 PM

Re: 1/2 NL stars AA
 
[ QUOTE ]
I just call the turn, kinda way ahead, way behind, give him a chance to bluff his TT on the river, if he's got you beat on this board you gotta go broke.

Even giving him the most narrow range ever and pretending he can never have TT, a goofy bluff or some kind of slowplay your equity is very good.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 56.854% 56.85% 00.00% 11820 0.00 { AcAs }
Hand 1: 43.146% 43.15% 00.00% 8970 0.00 { QQ-JJ, 99, 55, 33 }


[/ QUOTE ]

given this would you play any street differently?

otis_nixon 05-13-2007 07:37 PM

Re: 1/2 NL stars AA
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I just call the turn, kinda way ahead, way behind, give him a chance to bluff his TT on the river, if he's got you beat on this board you gotta go broke.

Even giving him the most narrow range ever and pretending he can never have TT, a goofy bluff or some kind of slowplay your equity is very good.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 56.854% 56.85% 00.00% 11820 0.00 { AcAs }
Hand 1: 43.146% 43.15% 00.00% 8970 0.00 { QQ-JJ, 99, 55, 33 }


[/ QUOTE ]

given this would you play any street differently?

[/ QUOTE ]

Nope, I would not. OK, he had a set this time, but that's how it goes, just make sure to write down "can check minraise flopped sets and make small followup bets."

dchz 05-13-2007 07:44 PM

Re: 1/2 NL stars AA
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I just call the turn, kinda way ahead, way behind, give him a chance to bluff his TT on the river, if he's got you beat on this board you gotta go broke.

Even giving him the most narrow range ever and pretending he can never have TT, a goofy bluff or some kind of slowplay your equity is very good.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 56.854% 56.85% 00.00% 11820 0.00 { AcAs }
Hand 1: 43.146% 43.15% 00.00% 8970 0.00 { QQ-JJ, 99, 55, 33 }


[/ QUOTE ]

given this would you play any street differently?

[/ QUOTE ]

Nope, I would not. OK, he had a set this time, but that's how it goes, just make sure to write down "can check minraise flopped sets and make small followup bets."

[/ QUOTE ]

lol way ahead of ya\


why can't this donk bet /3bet like that donk in your thread?

this was just one of those spots where when i'm playhing the hand i felt something, but i do't know if it is enough to act on and i need a line check, thanks guys


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