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-   -   combo draw facing all in push on flop NL25 (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=394545)

Jzo19 05-03-2007 12:06 PM

combo draw facing all in push on flop NL25
 
villain is 24/14/2 tag
is this a call or should i let it go ?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP ($51.05)
Button ($27.75)
Hero ($47.15)
BB ($25.35)
UTG ($22.20)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $1</font>, Hero calls $0.90, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: ($2.25) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets $2</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $6</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $28.75 (All-In)</font>, Hero ???

xeanatic 05-03-2007 12:12 PM

Re: combo draw facing all in push on flop NL25
 
I think you should fold, the power of your hand is that you have fold equity when you are the one that pushes all in, in this situation I think you are looking at a set most of the time.. So I think it is ok to fold here especially against a tag villian

Quester 05-03-2007 12:16 PM

Re: combo draw facing all in push on flop NL25
 
Easy fold IMO. Villain is playing this like a set or overpair. I think his range here is 44,88,TT+. He's trying to protect his hand from the FD. You aren't getting odds to call this.

Antinome 05-03-2007 12:21 PM

Re: combo draw facing all in push on flop NL25
 
There's enough money already in the pot that calling this is more or less neutral EV. 1.62:1 -&gt; 1/1+1.62 -&gt; need 38% to call, you have 9 flush outs, we ignore your overs that might be good vs part of his range and ignore his redraw outs to compensate, 9x4 is 36%.... close enough. Fold, call... it doesn't really matter.

CobraGoat 05-03-2007 12:38 PM

Re: combo draw facing all in push on flop NL25
 
[ QUOTE ]
There's enough money already in the pot that calling this is more or less neutral EV. 1.62:1 -&gt; 1/1+1.62 -&gt; need 38% to call, you have 9 flush outs, we ignore your overs that might be good vs part of his range and ignore his redraw outs to compensate, 9x4 is 36%.... close enough. Fold, call... it doesn't really matter.

[/ QUOTE ]

agreed.

however, i think you make life a lot easier 3 betting PF. Leading flop and if raised 3 bet shoving like a bully.


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