I lost $25000 on a putt
I'm not concerned about losing the cash but I think I made a terrible price. Opponent is a poker pro. The putt is 60-65 feet. Breaks maybe two feet. Greens are in normal condition. Golfer in question shoots maybe 85, putts ok. God this line is so bad I can hardly write it. 25-1 at $1000.
Does anyone have a feel for a decent line? It was an action bet. I was going for something close to EV neutral. Keep in mind that a PGA tour pro is about 25% from twelve feet and about 12% from 30 feet (though those stats are from a normal round; they're not trying to max their prob of making the putt). BA |
Re: I lost $25000 on a putt
fold preflop?
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Re: I lost $25000 on a putt
I think this was pretty close to a fair line. I would never lay those odds but I don't think it's that bad.
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Re: I lost $25000 on a putt
UHHHH being an under 3 handicap at one point this seems like a neutral ev bet at best although from this length luck is half the battle
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Re: I lost $25000 on a putt
im a scratch golfer, against even good players i think this is neutral if not plus ev, 20 yards is a [censored] long putt. if i were u i would take this pretty much all day and cake, you could probly talk him to 20-1 and buy a lemonade stand, beach chair and a hooker and never have to move another foot in your life living off of his money.
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Re: I lost $25000 on a putt
scratch golfer here as well, giving 25-1 is def +EV for you
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Re: I lost $25000 on a putt
terrible golfer, good gambler
bet it sounded good at the time: "hey! a free grand!" |
Re: I lost $25000 on a putt
Do it 25 more times and profit?
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Re: I lost $25000 on a putt
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UHHHH being an under 3 handicap at one point this seems like a neutral ev bet at best although from this length luck is half the battle [/ QUOTE ] btw, no |
Re: I lost $25000 on a putt
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Do it 25 more times and profit? [/ QUOTE ] this is wrong, DUCY? |
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