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-   -   financial market books to read (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=393196)

DcifrThs 05-01-2007 08:01 PM

financial market books to read
 
probably been done before but i have a specific request. i'd like a list of books to compliment the ones i'm reading or have read.

Those are:

Fooled by Randomness
Black Swan
Halo Effect (just bought it b/c i felt like it..dont think it necessarily belongs)

I need to read a lot more than i am now. Currently, i read the economist cover to cover every week & try to read as much wall street journal & FT as i can. i concentrate on market oriented articles and all of the FT Comment & Analysis as that is worth its weight in gold...or many many times its weight as paper doesn't weigh much... and reading it online weighs nothing lol.

So, lets get this started, please list books that are of the above quality and will expand my mind and knowledge of financial markets.

Thanks,
Barron

DOTTT 05-01-2007 10:40 PM

Re: financial market books to read
 
Against the Gods: The remarkable story of risk
Hedgehogging

DcifrThs 05-02-2007 07:02 AM

Re: financial market books to read
 
[ QUOTE ]
Against the Gods: The remarkable story of risk
Hedgehogging

[/ QUOTE ]

good stuff, i've also added "when genius failed"

Barron

hawk59 05-02-2007 10:22 AM

Re: financial market books to read
 
Superinvestors

dp13368 05-02-2007 10:49 AM

Re: financial market books to read
 
The Intelligent Investor- Benjamin Graham (w/ preface and appendix by Warren Buffett)

http://www.amazon.com/Intelligent-Invest...7342&sr=8-1

http://ec1.images-amazon.com/images/...A240_SH20_.jpg

Jeff W 05-02-2007 12:22 PM

Re: financial market books to read
 
Not a book, but a great resource:

http://www.altruistfa.com/readingroomarticles.htm

DcifrThs 05-02-2007 12:27 PM

Re: financial market books to read
 
[ QUOTE ]
Not a book, but a great resource:

http://www.altruistfa.com/readingroomarticles.htm

[/ QUOTE ]

BOOOOOOOKMARKED!! wow thats awesome. just glancing at it now but already found some great stuff. Fama & French papers' summaries (clicked on Equity Risk Premium). i'm gunna dig myself silly here!

thanks jeff, great stuff.
Barron

hawk59 05-02-2007 01:52 PM

Re: financial market books to read
 
dcifer,

for your own good, read the article that i linked, absorb what buffet says about RISK & REWARD. you won't need to read any academic studies after that

DcifrThs 05-02-2007 10:18 PM

Re: financial market books to read
 
[ QUOTE ]
dcifer,

for your own good, read the article that i linked, absorb what buffet says about RISK & REWARD. you won't need to read any academic studies after that

[/ QUOTE ]

the tone of your comment there is interesting... that article is good but it points out one thing: value investing can produce good returns and one doesn't need to be a math wiz to do it.

however, if you actually look at the returns he presents in greater depth, the actual alpha they provide is staggeringly small. by alpha i mean the return above and beyond the benchmark against which one is measured. if you care i'll go into the mathematical formulation of it but it's boring and unnecessary for this point.

take a top hedge fund. most people would rather invest with buffet than with, say X fund. but, over the period from lets say 1991-2007, this X fund has generated an information ratio (historical compound annual excess return divided by historical annual risk) of 1.08. that means that for every unit of risk, one would receive just over one unit of excess return (the total return minus the benchmark). further, if you simulate (roughly) the investment strategy back to 1960, you'd get a lower, but still close to 1.0 ratio (tons of assumptions here but all are reasonable & try to correct for the unavailability of derivatives & leverage etc.).

now, if you look at the examples buffet gives in his article, you'll see that the largest information ratio is .55 (pacific Ltd). this company generated a STAGGERING 22,205% compound return over 19 years. but when you disect that, it doesn't look as rediculous as it first appears. why?? because the risk adjusted return is FAR LESS than the total return. this company's annual standard deviation was 57.12%!!! that is on annual compounded returns of 31.44% (31.44/57.12=0.55 information ratio).

buffet doesn't seem to grasp this and many other people dont seem to grasp it either.

keep in mind, im not saying buffet is lucky. im not saying his methodology is bad or flawed or anything. in fact, i'd say it's freaking awesome!!! for him to be able to generate that kind of return WITHOUT VENTURING INTO OTHER ASSET CLASSES or types of bets is absolutely amazing and awe inspiring (the X fund above trades in over 100 different types of bets spanning every major market in the world).

it is though, important to understand the difference between straight compound return as buffet presented, and actual risk adjusted excess return on alpha (or information ratio).

i'll make my spreadsheet available to you if you PM me your email address so you can see what i did to arrive at my numbers.

I do want to thank you for the article though b/c it was a good read and does shine some light on the value of "value investing." i have more respect for his methodology now than i did before. i previously thought he was one of those ourangatnges you'd expect to find if you started out with tons of investors and had one with his track record [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

Barron

Scorpion Man 05-03-2007 12:54 AM

Re: financial market books to read
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Against the Gods: The remarkable story of risk
Hedgehogging

[/ QUOTE ]

good stuff, i've also added "when genius failed"

Barron

[/ QUOTE ]\

dont read hedge hogging
it sucks
barton is a pussy and uses composites and is the same gladhanding kissass he was on the sell side


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