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-   -   AJs against total donk (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=388113)

Bowlboy 04-25-2007 02:10 PM

AJs against total donk
 
Villain is 74/17/2.00 over 25 hands and is shaping out to be a real donk. A couple of hands prior to this he 3bet AI with A7s preflop.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

BB ($12.20)
UTG ($10)
Hero ($10.30)
SB ($4.25)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $0.4</font>, SB calls $0.35, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: ($0.90) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $3.85 (All-In)</font>, Hero calls $3.85.

My reasoning for calling is as stated already he's a donk and this could be a total bluff, and I'm guessing I have a decent amount of equity against a lot of his range. He could be doing this any pocket pair or maybe any piece of the flop. There is already some dead money in the pot before his push as well.

losingdonkey 04-25-2007 02:17 PM

Re: AJs against total donk
 
he's betting 4 (his whole stack) into a 1 dollar pot. all you have is a draw. fold.

monkeymaps 04-25-2007 02:21 PM

Re: AJs against total donk
 
your prob flipping agianst alot of his hands and math wise not in bad shape here

but I would fold here there are bound be better spots agianst this guy.

goochpkt2002 04-25-2007 02:28 PM

Re: AJs against total donk
 
9 clean outs to the nuts, 6 outs in over cards that have to be counted as partial outs. so, 11 or 12 outs or 44-46% to win. you're not getting the proper odds...unless he's full of it enough to significantly increase those odds, and it sounds like he is. essentially you're flipping here and can find a better place to get it in. with that, i'd probably gamble. if he sticks around, you'll be getting a % (at least) of the money back anyway.

Bowlboy 04-25-2007 02:36 PM

Re: AJs against total donk
 
I dont think that this type of villain plays a set or 2 pair this fast so I'm figuring his range is 77, 88, A9, K9, hell maybe even Q9, J9, flush or straight draw, and of course some random bluff. I'm not worried about looking for better spots since I dont mind the variance as long as it's +1% EV [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] If I lose this hand I can reload and still cover him in a later confrontation. Is it +EV to call here given that range?


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