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-   -   200NL: TPNK on a wet turn (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=387748)

KLJ 04-25-2007 01:28 AM

200NL: TPNK on a wet turn
 
UTG: 45vpip donk who goes to showdown a lot
MP: 26/7/2 semi-regular who i have no history with

i'm perceived somewhere between 22/18/3 and 18/14/3 and haven't won/lost any big pots at this table

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $198
BB: $673.95
UTG: $313.75
<u>MP: $115</u>
<u>KLJ (CO): $212.05</u>
BTN: $203.15

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> KLJ is dealt 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (6 Players)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $4</font>, MP calls $4, KLJ calls $4, 3 folds

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($15) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
UTG checks, MP checks, <font color="red">KLJ bets $10</font>, UTG folds, MP calls $10

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($35) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
MP checks, <font color="red">KLJ bets $20</font>, <font color="red">MP raises all-in to $101</font>

Mossberg 04-25-2007 01:30 AM

Re: 200NL: TPNK on a wet turn
 
I would fold here without a read. His stats indicate that he's not too aggressive, so I would expect him to have a real hand like Th9h or A9 much more often than a semibluff.

pdoran10 04-25-2007 01:33 AM

Re: 200NL: TPNK on a wet turn
 
if MP is 26/7/2 i feel like he plays unorthodox preflop, which leads me to believe he can play very unorthodox post flop as well.

That coupled with his semi low AF makes me think this is fold. Without history a turn CRAI seems too much like a monster to me, especially when u have no history with villan and villan isnt super agressive.

Psydoc 04-25-2007 01:35 AM

Re: 200NL: TPNK on a wet turn
 
For a second I thought you had A4 and was pondering...oh wait, A5? Easy fold imo. I guess you are asking if he has a draw often enough to make a call ok...and I think not.

LouisCyphre 04-25-2007 01:48 AM

Re: 200NL: TPNK on a wet turn
 
This line is almost never a hand you can beat. Typical players don't raise the turn with a draw. A check-raise doesn't change the situation that much. Although I wonder what that flop check was all about. I'd guess set or two pair.

effinA 04-25-2007 02:36 AM

Re: 200NL: TPNK on a wet turn
 
fold, wont be a draw too often here

shpanko 04-25-2007 02:41 AM

Re: 200NL: TPNK on a wet turn
 
This is tough because you think he'd have to bet and good made hand on the flop because the pot is 3-way. I mean if he's a semi-regular he needss to be betting 44 there aw well as good aces. Have you known him to slow-play on boards he shouldn't?

The only hands that make some sense are T9 (w/ or w/o flush draw) and A9 (AdXd could play this way as well).

To be honest though this looks a lot like a draw that is trying to push you off a hand, I mean if he's a decent semi-regular that doesn't slow play on wet boards then you should have him beat here like always unless he has T9/A9.

shpanko 04-25-2007 02:42 AM

Re: 200NL: TPNK on a wet turn
 
Oh and villains AF is 2 which isn't low by any means

ManChild 04-25-2007 03:20 AM

Re: 200NL: TPNK on a wet turn
 
this may seriously be like the easiest fold ever

KLJ 04-25-2007 05:35 AM

Re: 200NL: TPNK on a wet turn
 
so that's that then? i thought this hand would be interesting. what am i beat by? im not saying i should have called, im just curious


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