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-   -   Baluga theorem in action? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=381294)

aislephive 04-17-2007 07:12 PM

Baluga theorem in action?
 
Villain is 34/8 over 150 hands, donkish etc.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

Button ($154.30)
SB ($312.09)
BB ($68.08)
UTG ($83.50)
<font color="#C00000">Hero ($107.30)</font>
<font color="#C00000">CO ($206.14)</font>

Preflop: Hero is MP with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $4</font>, CO calls $4, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>.

Flop: ($9.50) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $6.5</font>, CO calls $6.50.

Turn: ($22.50) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $15</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to $36</font>, Hero ???

Unknown Soldier 04-17-2007 07:16 PM

Re: Baluga theorem in action?
 
I'd say so, how agro is he?

Ben86 04-17-2007 07:17 PM

Re: Baluga theorem in action?
 
only problem i see here is that he may have an overpair as well. id call and check call the river i think.

delta k 04-17-2007 07:17 PM

Re: Baluga theorem in action?
 
baluga doesn't apply since we have a 2pr hand here.

MasterLJ 04-17-2007 07:17 PM

Re: Baluga theorem in action?
 
No. He could easily have an overpair here. I call turn and call a decent river bet. You can easily make a case for shoving here.

Unknown Soldier 04-17-2007 07:18 PM

Re: Baluga theorem in action?
 
theyd usually raise flop w/ an overpair wouldnt they?

WelshChip 04-17-2007 07:19 PM

Re: Baluga theorem in action?
 
[ QUOTE ]
only problem i see here is that he may have an overpair as well. id call and check call the river i think.

[/ QUOTE ]

this would leave u in bad spot, due to fact pot size bet would be more than rest of stack.

I push


WelshChip

orange 04-17-2007 07:20 PM

Re: Baluga theorem in action?
 
i dont fold. not sure if BW thm applies here because of the paired board.

Ben86 04-17-2007 07:23 PM

Re: Baluga theorem in action?
 
type of villian described wouldnt necessarily

shockdaworld 04-17-2007 07:32 PM

Re: Baluga theorem in action?
 
Can we include A8s, 98s, and 22-77 to his range? Don't most donks with these stats overvalue tp, put you on overcards, etc? If we are calling the turn raise, isn't pushing most rivers getting value from some of these marginal hands he will check behind?

Also, did a search but results were all over the place, what exactly is the baluga theorum?


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