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-   -   50NL- TPGK facing 2x the pot overbet (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=321137)

Imrahil 02-01-2007 05:20 PM

50NL- TPGK facing 2x the pot overbet
 
Villain is 65/20/1.1 over 66 hands.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG ($58)
MP ($38.40)
CO ($75.90)
Hero ($74.65)
SB ($156.80)
BB ($17.20)

Preflop: Hero is Button with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls $0.50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2.5</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP calls $2.

Flop: ($5.75) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">MP bets $10</font>, Hero?

warrlegacy 02-01-2007 05:32 PM

Re: 50NL- TPGK facing flop overbet
 
That's a tough bet there. I don't think a call is good here. I can see an argument being made for both a fold or push. I lean towards a fold though. Really it depends on how willing you are to gamble it up against his range.

Any reads at all? Had he overbet like this a lot?

Imrahil 02-01-2007 05:37 PM

Re: 50NL- TPGK facing flop overbet
 
[ QUOTE ]
That's a tough bet there. I don't think a call is good here. I can see an argument being made for both a fold or push. I lean towards a fold though. Really it depends on how willing you are to gamble it up against his range.

Any reads at all? Had he overbet like this a lot?

[/ QUOTE ]

I was playing 6 tables so I didn't notice anything. Although, I think I may have been raising limpers a few times in the last orbit.

barryc83 02-01-2007 05:39 PM

Re: 50NL- TPGK facing flop overbet
 
Fold. No need to make heroic calls here. You have top pair with a J kicker. I guess this guy could be getting mad that you're raising his limps everytime or even some kind of donk bluff, but I'm not calling with this hand.

Archon_Wing 02-01-2007 05:43 PM

Re: 50NL- TPGK facing flop overbet
 
I think he has some made hand but is afraid of the two spades. Something like top pair or two pair. Hard to note unless you can dig up some more hand histories of him, but someone with passive stats like that probaly wouldn't bluff, or at least not enough to be profitable, and he is not going to fold for sure.

canavarr 02-01-2007 05:56 PM

Re: 50NL- TPGK facing flop overbet
 
not calling a big bet/raise (when you should) is only a small mistake.
calling a big bet/raise (when you shouldn't) is a big mistake.

Waingro 02-01-2007 07:42 PM

Re: 50NL- TPGK facing 2x the pot overbet
 
Actually I like a push here. Obviously you donīt have much but the only hands that makes sense for villainīs "get out of the way" bet is a fd, a weak king or some mid pockets. I think you have the best hand here a lot and villain donīt have much behind so push it in.

Paul Thomson 02-01-2007 08:12 PM

Re: 50NL- TPGK facing 2x the pot overbet
 
I'm not sure if 60 hands is enough. but he looks pretty fishy...

I think I push this. Does he really limp KQ preflop? Sure he might have 22 or 88 but i doubt it the latter.

I say push cause he's going to call with his flush draw.

obviously folding is fine.

Imrahil 02-01-2007 08:40 PM

Re: 50NL- TPGK facing 2x the pot overbet
 
I pushed and the guy had A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] and my hand held up.


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