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-   -   Rolled up (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=305852)

SkinnyPuppy 01-14-2007 12:28 AM

Rolled up
 
what is the % of getting rolled up trips 3 times in 16 hands at one table?

*TT* 01-14-2007 12:34 AM

Re: Rolled up
 
[ QUOTE ]
what is the % of getting rolled up trips 3 times in 16 hands at one table?

[/ QUOTE ]

honestly... who cares. Take this silly question to the probability forum and learn to do the math - read Mathematics of Poker by Chen.

TT

trickyAAA 01-14-2007 12:41 AM

Re: Rolled up
 
I don't know, but it is the same whether you are at one table, or if you change tables after each hand.

Andy B 01-14-2007 02:19 AM

Re: Rolled up
 
As TT points out, it doesn't really matter. Either it happens or it doesn't, and if you play long enough, you're bound to experience something like this sooner or later. I show you how to figure this out in this old thread. I'm not going to do the actual calculation because I'm not sure where my good calculator is, and besides I don't care.

davebwell 01-14-2007 02:28 AM

Re: Rolled up
 
[ QUOTE ]
what is the % of getting rolled up trips 3 times in 16 hands at one table?

[/ QUOTE ] No calculator, you'll have to do the math.

(16 choose 3)*(52/(52 choose 3)^3*((52 choose 3 - 52)/(52 choose 3))^13

x choose y means (x!/(y!(x-y)!)


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