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-   -   Odds out the window on Full Tilt? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=304640)

duck_butter 01-12-2007 06:35 AM

Odds out the window on Full Tilt?
 
Ok, first off, give this post a chance before you tell me to repost in the bad beats / variance forum. I am genuinely bewildered and looking for an answer here.

I played on Party for 2 years and did very well. I took 3 months off after the shut down and have only been on full tilt for less than a week. In my last single day playing session on FTP I am -40 BB/100 hands and below is a concise list. All of the hands below I went all in for a full table stack and lost (my hands are listed first):

8d8c on 8s 3s 3d 6c turn vs 3c3h
2d2c on 2s 3s Kh flop vs 4c5c
KhKd preflop vs QcQh
4c4d on 3c 5c 6c 7d turn vs jhjc
AdAs on Th 5h 3c flop vs 8h9h
AdKh on Qh 4h Kc flop vs JsJc
AsAh on 9s Ts Ks flop vs AcQs
AsAh on Ts 6s 5h flop vs QsJs
KcKs preflop vs AdAs
AhKh on As 3h 2h flop vs 2s2c
QdQs on 4d 5d 9c flop vs Ah5h
KhJh on 3h 4h 5h 6c turn vs AhAd
As7c on 7s 6c Qh 7h turn vs 7d2h
AhAs on 3h 7c 9h Kh turn vs 8dTd
Qc6d on 8c 6c 6h flop vs 8s8d
AhJs on Jd 5c Ac 3s turn vs Qc9c
Qc9c on Qd 9s 5h flop vs 5s5d
KhKd preflop vs AdAs

18 times I was felted in one day's playing session. I've had some really bad runs before, but never anything like this. A few of the hands were cold decking and I shoved with the worst hand against a monster, but most of them I had the best hand. Anyone else have a similar experience or notice if FTP plays different from the old Party?

Thx,

dB

good2cu 01-12-2007 06:41 AM

Re: Odds out the window on Full Tilt?
 
God is sending you a message.

He hates you.

Morphling29 01-12-2007 07:28 AM

Re: Odds out the window on Full Tilt?
 
I have had similar situations such as this on FT. I have had it more on Stars though. I just chalk it up to varience....then delete the site for no practical reason.

AceCR9 01-12-2007 07:28 AM

Re: Odds out the window on Full Tilt?
 

I played on Party for 2 years and did very well.

thedustbustr 01-12-2007 09:38 AM

Re: Odds out the window on Full Tilt?
 
good to see it's not just me

all_in_lam 01-12-2007 09:42 AM

Re: Odds out the window on Full Tilt?
 
no i find this to definately be true. the variance on ftp seems much higher, although i dont see the winrate being less, just a lot more coolers from my experience.


but then again, fish on pp used to say the same thing and i thougth they were superstitious morons, so maybe we shoudlnt be thinking this way during our play. stuff like this can make you lose if you really think it is rigged.

Blizzardbaum 01-12-2007 10:54 AM

Re: Odds out the window on Full Tilt?
 
Last night, on Full Tilt, I lost with AA. Twice.

callme 01-12-2007 11:19 AM

Re: Odds out the window on Full Tilt?
 
I figured about 2 weeks ago i should play on FTP too - i quickly lost 15 buyins in one day. In my case it seemed as worse as any shortstack got it in against me he sucked out almost every single time.
(the awesome thing at FTP is that they show you the cards when all in - its such a great feeling if you have like 45 your opponent KJ board is 458 - turn K - river J - but i think thats not worth it sticking around so back to where i came [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img])

But i think there is a pretty easy solution if variance is higher at FT or not - just compare your Variance PT-stats from Party with the actual stats from FT and post results - would be intresting.

PickyTooth 01-12-2007 12:49 PM

Re: Odds out the window on Full Tilt?
 
What people have to realise is the games are tougher hence more swings.

heresjohnny 01-12-2007 12:55 PM

Re: Odds out the window on Full Tilt?
 
Rigged.


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