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-   -   NL25 6m- AK faces reraise PF (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=301029)

optimus_prime 01-07-2007 10:25 PM

NL25 6m- AK faces reraise PF
 
It's villain's first hand at the table and he posted out of position. Can I call here?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

BB ($17.15)
UTG ($14)
MP ($20.55)
Hero ($23.55)
SB ($23.65)

Preflop: Hero is Button with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
UTG calls $0.25, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $1.25</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $14</font>, Hero ?

bazza22 01-07-2007 10:32 PM

Re: NL25 6m- AK faces reraise PF
 
I think this is a call. Villain has come to the table short of the maximum buy in, posted OOP and gone all in on his 1st hand. I think your reads suggest someone on tilt. Not a play against a regular opponent but in this instance I call as I feel we are ahead of villains range.

pineapple888 01-07-2007 11:19 PM

Re: NL25 6m- AK faces reraise PF
 
Call, I guess, although it's not a very profitable spot usually.

Panthro 01-07-2007 11:22 PM

Re: NL25 6m- AK faces reraise PF
 
I snapcall this for half a stack.

Bonesy 01-07-2007 11:41 PM

Re: NL25 6m- AK faces reraise PF
 
[ QUOTE ]
I snapcall this for half a stack.

[/ QUOTE ]

Half stack, posting OOP. That is enough donkage for me. Call it Helmuth style.

shoxbb6 01-07-2007 11:54 PM

Re: NL25 6m- AK faces reraise PF
 
Easy call.
This is +EV as long as he's shoving more than only QQ+.

Math below:
Pot is $15.6 when the action comes to you. You have to put in another $12.75 to win it.
If you call, there will be $28.35 in the pot.
To find the break even point, we simply do:
28.35x - 12.75(1-x) = 0
which becomes: 41.1x = 12.75
~x = .31
Therefore, you need to be at least %31 of the time in order to show profit for this call.

With AKo, if he shoves only QQ,KK,AA then you are only %30.8 against his range.

Assuming he also does this with more than only those three combinations(A safe assumption because he's only half a stack and posted utg), then this is an easy call.

Unknown Soldier 01-08-2007 12:00 AM

Re: NL25 6m- AK faces reraise PF
 
no you mean 15.6x - 12.75(1-x)

45% of the time

orange 01-08-2007 12:05 AM

Re: NL25 6m- AK faces reraise PF
 
gammbooool. call is fine. fold is probably not bad either. i dont think it matters much either way.

shoxbb6 01-08-2007 12:08 AM

Re: NL25 6m- AK faces reraise PF
 
After you call, the 12.75 goes in the pot. 15.6 + 12.75 = 28.35 is the potsize after you call.

Tickner 01-08-2007 12:09 AM

Re: NL25 6m- AK faces reraise PF
 
Doesnt matter what you do. Call or fold, your choice.


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