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-   -   praying to the variance gods (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=211823)

keikiwai 09-14-2006 01:26 AM

praying to the variance gods
 
So after dropping a few buy-ins yesterday when getting money in good, I decided to pray at my variance altar.

I lit a few candles. Sacrificed my favorite copy of HEPFAP. Gave myself a paper cut w/ the A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. And threw a salt shaker at my monitor.

Well, after that, I found out I got my rb of the month a few days early. Score. It must be working.

Then came this hand:

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $105.55
UTG+1: $199.10
keikiwai: $195
Button: $100.10
SB: $365.25
BB: $241.90

Pre-flop: (6 players) keikiwai is CO with http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/ah.png http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/td.png
2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">keikiwai raises to $8</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Button raises all-in $100.1</font>, 2 folds, keikiwai calls.

Flop: http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/js.png http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/qd.png http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/kd.png ($203.2, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $203.2)


Turn: http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/qs.png ($203.2, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $203.2)


River: http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/6s.png ($203.2, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $203.2)


Results:
Final pot: $203.2
<font color="#">keikiwai showed A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]</font>
<font color="#">Button showed K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]</font>

OMG WTF AGAIN!!!!!

AND JUST IN CASE THERE ARE ANY FUCKTARDS THAT QUESTION MY GOING ALL IN W/ ATo (NOT TO MENTION THE MAD CRAZY SKILLZ OF FLOPPING THAT STR8T):

http://twodimes.net/h/?z=2075298
pokenum -h ah td - ks 2s
Holdem Hi: 1712304 enumerated boards
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Td Ah 1046339 61.11 658081 38.43 7884 0.46 0.613
Ks 2s 658081 38.43 1046339 61.11 7884 0.46 0.387

After this, I promptly stop, take my shoes off, turn my socks inside out, door-bell ditch two of my neighbors.

Then come the advantages of table selecting like a mad man:


******* Hand 1 ********

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $183
UTG+1: $172.45
CO: $254.40
Button: $100.30
keikiwai: $285.40
BB: $41.55

Pre-flop: (6 players) keikiwai is SB with http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/2h.png http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/ah.png
<font color="#cc0000">UTG raises to $7</font>, UTG+1 folds, CO calls, Button folds, keikiwai calls, BB calls.

Flop: http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/2d.png http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/ac.png http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/kc.png ($28, 4 players)
keikiwai checks, BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">UTG bets $14</font>, CO folds, <font color="#cc0000">keikiwai raises to $35</font>, BB folds, <font color="#cc0000">UTG raises to $70</font>, <font color="#cc0000">keikiWHATmeWORRY?wai raises all-in $278.4</font>, <font color="#cc0000">UTG calls all-in $120</font>.
Uncalled bets: $88.4 returned to keikiwai.

Turn: http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/9h.png ($408, 0 player + 2 all-in - Main pot: $408)


River: http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/as.png ($408, 0 player + 2 all-in - Main pot: $408)


Results:
Final pot: $408
<font color="#">keikiwai showed 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]</font>
<font color="#">UTG showed A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]</font>


******* Hand 2 ********

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $199.60
UTG+1: $181.05
CO: $151.65
Button: $141.70
keikiwai: $204.20
BB: $222.65

Pre-flop: (6 players) keikiwai is SB with http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/jd.png http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/qd.png
3 folds, Button calls, keikiwai calls, <font color="#cc0000">BB raises to $8</font>, Button folds, keikiwai calls.

Flop: http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/9c.png http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/5c.png http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/th.png ($18, 2 players)
keikiwai checks, <font color="#cc0000">BB bets $15</font>, keikiwai calls.

Turn: http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/kd.png ($48, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">keikiI'MgonnaCASHmyIMPLIEDoddsINwa i is all-in $181.2</font>, BB calls.

River: http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-conte...c-cards/ad.png ($410.4, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $410.4)


Results:
Final pot: $410.4
<font color="#">keikiwai showed J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]</font>
<font color="#">BB showed A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]</font>

So it was either the doorbell ditching, or I accidentally sold my soul to the devil before moving up:

http://img179.imageshack.us/img179/2571/20060913dt0.jpg

Chump Change 09-14-2006 01:29 AM

Re: praying to the variance gods
 
I throroughly enjoyed this post.

mlagoo 09-14-2006 01:31 AM

Re: praying to the variance gods
 
[ QUOTE ]
I throroughly enjoyed this post.

[/ QUOTE ]

DMoogle 09-14-2006 01:33 AM

Re: praying to the variance gods
 
I hope you had "reads".

keikiwai 09-14-2006 01:35 AM

Re: praying to the variance gods
 
[ QUOTE ]
"reads"

[/ QUOTE ]
http://img144.imageshack.us/img144/4638/airwc0.jpg

Wools 09-14-2006 01:40 AM

Re: praying to the variance gods
 
You won half as much today as I lost yesterday; thankfully I rebounded with a huge 2500 hand, $11 day today.

Teach me your variance ritual.

Eulysses 09-14-2006 02:36 AM

Re: praying to the variance gods
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I throroughly enjoyed this post.

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

Nielsio 09-14-2006 05:41 AM

Re: praying to the variance gods
 
All skill

pokergrader 09-14-2006 06:14 AM

Re: praying to the variance gods
 
I find that you should give yourself a papercut with your favorite card in the deck, not the ace of spades (unless that is the your favorite card [which makes you a loser]).

I strongly prefer the king of clubs.

Bubbles 09-14-2006 06:17 AM

Re: praying to the variance gods
 
Yeah, well done, kei. Good thread.


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