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-   -   My pre-flop stats are mysteriously tightening up. Fear? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=178793)

SpaceAce 08-04-2006 04:33 PM

My pre-flop stats are mysteriously tightening up. Fear?
 
Until recently, my stats in the Absolute $3/$6 game were in the neighborhood of 28/20/2.35. I just noticed that over the last 30,000 hands, my numbers are sitting at 24.3/16.3/2.58. Since the first of this month, I am playing 22.4/15.4/2.82.

Over the last 30,000 hands, my WTSD is 35, my W$@SD is 54 and my BB/100 is -1.37 (by far the worst it has ever been at any game over 30,000 hands).

I don't know where this change in stats is coming from, but I worry that it might be a subtle result of getting my brains bashed in over the last few months.

Here are some pre-flop folds I routinely make:

UTG folds, UTG+1 (30/17) raises, I fold KQo in the cutoff.
UTG (26/20) raises, I fold AJo UTG+1.
CO (37/15) open-raises, I fold 44 on the button.
Button (30/17, steals 23%) open-raises, I fold A2o in the small blind.
UTG (unknown) raises, folds to mee in the small blind with KJo and I fold.
UTG (26/21) raises, I fold 66 UTG+1
UTG folds, UTG+1 (33/21) raises, next player (unknown) three-bets, I fold 88 on the button.
UTG raises, folded to me (or one caller) in the small blind with ATo, I fold.

Anything stand out as too weak there?

SpaceAce

gwyneth 08-04-2006 04:37 PM

Re: My pre-flop stats are mysteriously tightening up. Fear?
 
You seem a litl tight in the SB. you can cold-call you know.

Scary_Tiger 08-04-2006 04:40 PM

Re: My pre-flop stats are mysteriously tightening up. Fear?
 
These folds are all fine.

silencio 08-04-2006 04:49 PM

Re: My pre-flop stats are mysteriously tightening up. Fear?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Until recently, my stats in the Absolute $3/$6 game were in the neighborhood of 28/20/2.35. I just noticed that over the last 30,000 hands, my numbers are sitting at 24.3/16.3/2.58. Since the first of this month, I am playing 22.4/15.4/2.82.

Over the last 30,000 hands, my WTSD is 35, my W$@SD is 54 and my BB/100 is -1.37 (by far the worst it has ever been at any game over 30,000 hands).

I don't know where this change in stats is coming from, but I worry that it might be a subtle result of getting my brains bashed in over the last few months.

Here are some pre-flop folds I routinely make:

UTG folds, UTG+1 (30/17) raises, I fold KQo in the cutoff.
UTG (26/20) raises, I fold AJo UTG+1.
CO (37/15) open-raises, I fold 44 on the button.
Button (30/17, steals 23%) open-raises, I fold A2o in the small blind.
UTG (unknown) raises, folds to mee in the small blind with KJo and I fold.
UTG (26/21) raises, I fold 66 UTG+1
UTG folds, UTG+1 (33/21) raises, next player (unknown) three-bets, I fold 88 on the button.
UTG raises, folded to me (or one caller) in the small blind with ATo, I fold.

Anything stand out as too weak there?

SpaceAce

[/ QUOTE ]

1) I don't mind a cold call here.
2) easy raise
3) good
4) of course
5) could go either way I think
6) easy raise unless their is a 60/3/0.4 guy behind you
7) good
8) really depends on UTG.

Low Limit Loser 08-04-2006 04:52 PM

Re: My pre-flop stats are mysteriously tightening up. Fear?
 
[ QUOTE ]

UTG (26/21) raises, I fold 66 UTG+1


[/ QUOTE ]

3-bet to isolate with position? I would if he is easy to read postflop. Maybe not if he is capable of raising with UI overcards. 21% is really high.

LLL

MrWookie 08-04-2006 04:56 PM

Re: My pre-flop stats are mysteriously tightening up. Fear?
 
[ QUOTE ]
These folds are all fine.

[/ QUOTE ]

Agreed. Silencio is quite the lag.

SpaceAce 08-04-2006 05:12 PM

Re: My pre-flop stats are mysteriously tightening up. Fear?
 
Thanks for the replies. I am curious how many people think the AJ UTG+1 hand is a reraise and how many people think I should play the KQo on the button after the early raise. If so, who votes cold-call? EVERY TIME I three-bet my AJ, I run into AQ/AK and fail to suckout. Similar for the KQo. That's why I put "Fear?" in the title of the post. I wonder if I am jumping at shadows. All I know is that nearly every single time I have three-bet or played a Broadway hand in a questionable spot for the last 60,000 hands or so, I've been dominated and mostly I fail to suck out.

Am I giving up a lot if I continue to make those folds are are they marginal enough to not be a big problem?

SpaceAce

True 08-04-2006 05:19 PM

Re: My pre-flop stats are mysteriously tightening up. Fear?
 
Lags = tighter play.

Need to start 3-betting light.

True

ILOVEPOKER929 08-04-2006 06:23 PM

Re: My pre-flop stats are mysteriously tightening up. Fear?
 
I would 3bet with AJo in that spot, but I play all the rest the same as you.

ninenine_zoe 08-04-2006 07:21 PM

Re: My pre-flop stats are mysteriously tightening up. Fear?
 
[ QUOTE ]
These folds are all fine.

[/ QUOTE ]
vs someone w/ PFR>25%, i would raise some of them.


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