.50/1 Q4s Caught Stealing
 

OK, so I hate the re-raise on the flop. At the time I was thinking that I've been pretty active, so he might have called light and donk bet into me to try and take the pot away. However, villain was pretty tight and virtually any pocket pair he has (which are the hands he'll usually cal with planning to donk into me on the flop) are hands he won't fold.

Now that I'm here, though, I'm getting a pretty good price to call for my oesd, especially if he has am overpair. Obviously if he flopped the nuts that would really suck. I really don't think he is drawing here after 3betting me.

Still, my draw is weak since I'm never going to have the nuts, and I could, in fact, be drawing dead.

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
8 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $106.70
UTG+1: $98
MP1: $24.90
MP2: $100
CO: $43.05
Hero: $213
SB: $99
BB: $125.65

Pre-flop: (8 players) Hero is Button with 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
5 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $3</font>, SB folds, BB calls.

Flop: 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($6.5, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">BB bets $5</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $15</font>, <font color="#cc0000">BB raises to $35</font>, Hero ????

Re: .50/1 Q4s Caught Stealing
 

folds

seriously

no way to know if any 'out' is good

lots of potential monsters out there

fold

Re: .50/1 Q4s Caught Stealing
 

Doing anything but folding here would be downright awful. Most of your outs are "tainted" and even if you do hit your probably not getting paid by anything.

Re: .50/1 Q4s Caught Stealing
 

[ QUOTE ]
folds

seriously

no way to know if any 'out' is good

lots of potential monsters out there

fold

[/ QUOTE ]

Re: .50/1 Q4s Caught Stealing
 

Wow, a little pokerstove would have helped me before I posted this. Yeah, I was way out of line. My thoughts at the time were that he either had a set or a made straight, but that his sets were more likely and would pay me off when I hit. However, if that's his range here is my equity when I hit perfect on the turn:

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

7,294,410 games 7.521 secs 969,872 games/sec

Board: 5c 7d 6c 3s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 48.859% 46.50% 02.36% 3391606 172376.50 { 77-55, 98s }
Hand 1: 51.141% 48.78% 02.36% 3558051 172376.50 { Qd4d }

Gross [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]


This is what I get for playing tired- lesson learned.