Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
before 2007 i've never taken a favorite that was giving more than 14 points almost out of principle. Now I've bet on NE every week but I just can't do it this week. FFS Philly has to keep this game closer than 22 points, umm right?

[/ QUOTE ]

+1

[/ QUOTE ]

Tell me why. I'm liking NE, 22 or not. It's like McNabb doesn't have a team to play with.

NE is one of the most dominant teams in a long time, I have full faith they can win by 30.

[/ QUOTE ]

Mostly because Philly could backdoor cover 21 if Brady comes out early. CIN, CLE, and MIA all covered 21 vs the Pats. Philly is better than CIN and MIA. 2 other games(NYJ and SD) NE won by "only" 24.

If the line was -19, I would be on it.

I am on the over(50) though for 2u. NE is averaging 41 pts per game. Their game O/U has gone over 50 7 out of 10 games this year. The 3 that didn't were 45, 44 and 47.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***
 

[ QUOTE ]
CIN, CLE, and MIA all covered 21 vs the Pats.

[/ QUOTE ]

The Pats back-door covered against Clev as Clev was down 10 and driving with a minute left...fumble rec for TD screwed everyone that wasn't lucky enough to jump on Clev at 17.

Cinci and Miami were road games.

I like Philly at 24, not less than that. I may take the Pats if the line holds under 23 through Sunday.

- C -

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***
 

Anyone that bets against NE at ANY line under 30 deserves what they get imo.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***
 

[ QUOTE ]
Anyone that bets against NE at ANY line under 30 deserves what they get imo.

[/ QUOTE ]

So if I bet against the Pats and they don't cover, I deserved it? Thanks.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***
 

Bet against them and see how that works out for you. Thats all Im saying. I just cant understand how any sane person watching the NFL this year could do it. Good luck though.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***
 

[ QUOTE ]
Bet against them and see how that works out for you. Thats all Im saying.

[/ QUOTE ]

lol but what you're really saying is

[ QUOTE ]
I just cant understand how any sane person watching the NFL this year could do it.

[/ QUOTE ]

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***
 

[ QUOTE ]
Anyone that bets against NE at ANY line under 30 deserves what they get imo.

[/ QUOTE ]

Pats -24.5 is 3-7 this year, so thanks for the well thought out advice.

- C -

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***
 

the only reason i can imagine betting against pats is that sports books know that everyone jumps on every pats line so if they can put up a line they wont cover they get a huge day

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***
 

[ QUOTE ]
Bet against them and see how that works out for you. Thats all Im saying. I just cant understand how any sane person watching the NFL this year could do it. Good luck though.

[/ QUOTE ]

Is it a lock? Are you betting the NWE total?

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***
 

At the beginig of the week I took the birds +22; I couldn't see how anyone wouldn't. The line is now +24; with the moneyline at 25 to 1. I'm throwing 1/10u on the birds moneyline, too.

Do the Eagles really have less than a 5% chance of winning? They are both pro teams, right?