NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Not sure how the NBA threads are usually done here, but I figured I'd go ahead and make one for the first week of the season.

Plays for Tuesday 10/30
Golden State -3.5 vs. Utah, risking 1.1u to win 1u

I rate the Warriors as slightly better than the Jazz in a neutral setting at this point in the season. Golden State also had by far the largest home/road differential (18 games!) in the regular season last year. The Jazz don't match up well here, they will be forced to play GS's style of game and they won't be able to keep up with them.

I'm a huge Spurs fan but don't like picking them to cover large spreads, so no play vs. Portland.

LAL/HOU line has been moving strongly, presumably due to the latest Kobe drama. If it keeps moving to +5.5 or +6, it's a good pick for the Lakers at home.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

could the Jazz keep up with them in the playoffs a few months ago?

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Obviously they did, but one of the biggest disappointments for me was that GS wasn't up 3-0 to open the series. IIRC, they led in the final minute of games 1 and 2, one game by a sizeable margin.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Tuesday, October 30:

San Antonio -13.5
Brandon Roy and Darius Miles will be out for Portland. My number says SA by 22.

Golden State -3.5
This one should be close and GS is good at home. Injuries: Stephen Jackson (GS), Matt Harpring (Utah).

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

[ QUOTE ]

Brandon Roy and Darius Miles will be out for Portland.

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you have a link for Roy being out? I haven't seen this anywhere.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Do you happen to know of a place that has historical quarter lines for the NBA? Want to try something out this year

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

Brandon Roy and Darius Miles will be out for Portland.

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you have a link for Roy being out? I haven't seen this anywhere.

[/ QUOTE ]

Also curious on this point. This article would suggest he'll be playing, but this would be a quick play if it turns out he won't be playing.

Any news appreciated.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

YTD 0-0 +/- 0.00

Utah +3.5 1 Unit
Utah/Golden St Under 214.5

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Utah +4 (-115), SA -13 -110, Rockets -4.5 -110. I guess Ill keep a YTD for something for once.

YTD 0-0 +/- 0.00

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

so no sjack or jrich?

hangover from emotional playoff run

jackson is the heart of that team, matt barnes will be disgruntled

utah will only get better, utah is going to blow this one out imo

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

LAL +5.5- I don't think Kobe will let the drama effect him. This line is off by 3 points in my opinion.

YTD 0-0 +/- 0.00

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

New to this site so definately don't use my opinion, but after reading a few sites and what not and seeing lines, I took lakers +5.5 Jazz outright, and the jazz/GS under at 214.5 That seems way high to me.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

New to posting my picks but lets get it started.
One play today Spurs under 190 1.1u to win 1u.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/3515

I forgot GS let go of Jason Richardson. I'll pass on this game.

Re: Brandon Roy
http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pag...summary_1.html
He hurt his left heel during the team's first practice on the same heel that kept him out of 20 games last season. An MRI showed no major problems.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

YTD: 0-0, +/- 0.00

Spurs/Blazers under 190, 1.1u to win 1
Utah +2.5, 1.1u to win 1
Warriors/Jazz under 214 1.15u to win 1

I think Blazers don't have enough firepower against the Spurs defense, especially opening night, to break 90. Should be a low tempo game, I think a more realistic O/U number is probably 184'ish.

Stephan Jackson is out via suspension for the Warriors, and Monta Ellis is day to day. No key injuries for Utah, I think they cover here and the game goes under.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

blazers +13.5
lakers +5.5
lakers ML
warriors -3.5

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

[ QUOTE ]

Plays for Tuesday 10/30
Golden State -3.5 vs. Utah, risking 1.1u to win 1u


[/ QUOTE ]

The above looks terrible now, but not much I can do other than let it ride.

Added:
Spurs/Blazers under 190, to win 0.5u

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Jarrett Jack will start at point guard tonight, McMillan said, rounding out a starting lineup that also has Roy at shooting guard, Webster at small forward, Aldridge at power forward and Przybilla at center. McMillan said the second unit will include Steve Blake at point guard, Outlaw primarily at power forward, with some action at small forward, and Channing Frye, who will play center and power forward. James Jones will be the small forward on the second unit. The reserve shooting guard will be a rotation among Roy, Blake and Jack. . . . McMillan said he plans to start the game by not double-teaming Spurs star Tim Duncan. Przybilla will get the first crack at Duncan, McMillan said. . . . The Blazers exercised options that extended the contracts of Aldridge, Roy, Webster, Frye, Jack and Sergio Rodriguez by a year. The extensions keep the six players under contract through the 2008-09 season.

This is from THE OREGONIAN, portland newspaper.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

SA Under 190(-110) 1 unit
Jazz +3(-115) 2 units
Jazz 1H Under 108.5(-110) 1 unit
Lakers +5.5(-110) .75 units

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Spurs -13.5 (-110) 1 unit
Spurs -7 1st half 1 unit
Jazz +3 2 units

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Portland +14 1 unit

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

San Antonio -12.5, -110, 0.5u

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Portland +14 -105
Houston -1.5 2Q -110

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

GSW -2.5 1u -1.5 1u
LAL +5.5 1u

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

I had already jumped all over Under 189 and Blazers under 88.5 based on last years numbers, but the announcers have been discussing the Blazers' new uptempo strategy:

Blazers plan to run, gun, shoot to average 100 points per game

I guess that explains the jump in the line from 186 to 191.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Houston -5, -112 (-110 MB), 1u
Utah +2, -107 (-105 MB), 0.5u

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

[ QUOTE ]
Portland +14 1 unit

[/ QUOTE ]
Same.
[img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] so far.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Spurs/Blazers Under 95 EVEN 2nd Half 1 Unit

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

SA/Por 4Q U47.5, -110, 0.5u

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

I've got SA/Portland over 190. GS/Utah under 214, and LA +6 and LA/Houston over 196

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Portland +14 1 unit

[/ QUOTE ]
Same.
[img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] so far.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think you guys are gonna be ok with this number. I have been pleasantly suprised by how this team has played. They are young but they are gonna be good little team. SA seems to be rotating a lot of players tonight, I was suprised to see Darius Washington getting as much time as he did at the point.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

[ QUOTE ]
SA seems to be rotating a lot of players tonight, I was suprised to see Darius Washington getting as much time as he did at the point.

[/ QUOTE ]

Vaughn is out tonight and we finally got rid of Udrih, so it's an opportunity to see if Washington is a viable option. Hoping to see more of him in the 4th quarter.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
SA seems to be rotating a lot of players tonight, I was suprised to see Darius Washington getting as much time as he did at the point.

[/ QUOTE ]

Vaughn is out tonight and we finally got rid of Udrih, so it's an opportunity to see if Washington is a viable option. Hoping to see more of him in the 4th quarter.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree. Washington was pretty solid in the time he has played so far. He's a little rough around the edges and maybe a little to aggressive for the SA style but he's a newbie.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Lakers +6 1 Unit
LA/Houston Under 197.5 1 Unit

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

OK first parlay of the new NBA year....

Houston ML -235
Golden State ML 1st Half -118

490 to win 800.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

[ QUOTE ]
Spurs/Blazers Under 95 EVEN 2nd Half 1 Unit

[/ QUOTE ]

i had same thing, got lucky there portland didn't decide to foul [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Plays for Wednesday 10/31
San Antonio -6 @ Memphis, to win 2u
Seattle +11 @ Denver, to win 1u

Leaning, but haven't bet yet:
Washington spread
Toronto moneyline
New Jersey spread

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

LA/Houston Over 99 2nd Half 1 Unit

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Uta/GS 2H Over 105.5, -110, 0.5u
Hou/LA 2H Under 99.5, -110, 0.5u

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Lakers +3 1/2 2nd half 1 unit
Lakers +170 ML 2nd half 1 unit