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-   -   TPTK in 3-bet pot (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=558218)

wodka 11-30-2007 07:44 PM

TPTK in 3-bet pot
 
Villain was 28/10/1.6 over 100 hands. I was pretty nitty at about 17/14/3.

My thinking was that he would likely reraise QQ+ preflop. So i felt pretty confident holding the best hand. The board was quite wet so i decided to just shove over his check-minraise.

Party Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

UTG: $12.68
CO: $81.75
BTN: $14.90
SB: $86.70
Hero (BB): $56.13

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB)
2 folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $2</font>, SB calls $1.75, <font color="red">Hero raises to $8.50</font>, BTN folds, SB calls $6.50

Flop: ($19) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $12</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to $24</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $47.63 and is All-In</font>, SB calls $23.63

EsandWhizz 11-30-2007 08:03 PM

Re: TPTK in 3-bet pot
 
The best you can hope for is that hes got KQ/QJ or that hes drawing and i think thats unlikely judging by his flop min-raise. This looks more like a set of 10's or 3's in my experience of 50nl as the min-raise is often used to induce a shove.

Ekos 11-30-2007 08:12 PM

Re: TPTK in 3-bet pot
 
standard
this post is no longer 1 line

Ekos 11-30-2007 08:18 PM

Re: TPTK in 3-bet pot
 
[img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

19+12+24=$65 (pot)
divided by $23.63 (needed to commit w/ hand)
= u getting almost 3/1

pokerstove it out on ur own with what u think villain's range is here, and u'll see the correct decision is very clear

MrWooster 11-30-2007 08:41 PM

Re: TPTK in 3-bet pot
 
SB has a PP 100% of the time here - calls bet + calls re-raise - as much as you are getting really good odds - I don't think you are good 1/3 here.

Ekos 11-30-2007 09:23 PM

Re: TPTK in 3-bet pot
 
sb w/ 28vpip does not necessarily have a pp 100% of the time; here's the ev calc when villain has a modest range:

Board: Qd Th 3d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 49.762% 49.42% 00.35% 6849 48.00 { AcQh }
Hand 1: 50.238% 49.89% 00.35% 6915 48.00 { TT, 33, KQs, KQo }

Ricky_Bobby 11-30-2007 10:02 PM

Re: TPTK in 3-bet pot
 
I don't know what else you could do here, I play it the same.


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