50nl flopped set OOP on monotone board -Deep Stacked
 

Villain is 15/7/1 over 86 hands

Full Tilt Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

Hero (BB): $92.35
UTG: $16
UTG+1: $14.50
MP1: $45.40
MP2: $58.55
CO: $18.75
BTN: $77.35
SB: $30.10

Pre-Flop: 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB)
4 folds, CO calls $0.50, <font color="red">BTN raises to $2</font>, SB folds, Hero calls $1.50, CO folds

Flop: ($4.75) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero ??


I'll post what I did after a few responses, not the results, but the next action....but for now whats the best move here against this villain?

Re: 50nl flopped set OOP on monotone board -Deep Stacked
 

I think I'd probably lead here for like $3.75 at least. Hopefully he raises w/ an over pair w/ diamond, if not any over pair and gives you action with any hand that has a diamond. I think c/r just scares him off on this board, and gives away the strength of your hand. Hopefully he gets it in his head that you are leading out with the naked ace or something.

Re: 50nl flopped set OOP on monotone board -Deep Stacked
 

How often does he c-bet? If it's high i'm still checking here regardless of the monotone board, but if its low, I'll donk here.

Re: 50nl flopped set OOP on monotone board -Deep Stacked
 

I'm leading about 100% of the time here considering relative position.

Re: 50nl flopped set OOP on monotone board -Deep Stacked
 

Flop: ($4.75) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $2.50</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $11</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $23</font>

Re: 50nl flopped set OOP on monotone board -Deep Stacked
 

Raise to $92.35

Re: 50nl flopped set OOP on monotone board -Deep Stacked
 

I like the c/r if he is rather aggressive and CBets a lot. 4bet is pretty bad news but I push here.
i just stoved three hands he could make such a play with:

11,600,876 games 7.281 secs 1,593,308 games/sec

Board: 2d 6d 3d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 62.912% 62.40% 01.21% 7238481 139988.00 { 3c3h }
Hand 1: 37.088% 36.29% 01.21% 4209704 139988.00 { AcAs, AdAh, AdKd }

Re: 50nl flopped set OOP on monotone board -Deep Stacked
 

I would have led the flop. As played, I'd push.

Re: 50nl flopped set OOP on monotone board -Deep Stacked
 

I'm in Microsoft class so I don't have the exact HH. But this [ QUOTE ]
Raise to $92.35

[/ QUOTE ] happened. I 4b shoved with the set and BTN tanked down his whole timebank and called with 98d. Turn 5, River 5, shipshipshipship.

Without being results oriented, how big of a mistake was it for me to c/r flop instead of lead into his BTN raise range? IMO, it might not be a mistake at all, if so very small, am i wrong? I just don't see how I can fold this hand even to his 3b over my c/r.

Re: 50nl flopped set OOP on monotone board -Deep Stacked
 

[ QUOTE ]
Raise to $92.35

[/ QUOTE ]

lol I agree

I would normally lead here, but nice read with the c/r
Get it in on this flop.

I don't think you can ever get away from a set on this flop in a 2-way pot. I don't think that would ever be +EV unless you were 1000bb deep.