unstandard AA line against nit
 

Villain is 13/9/5 over 1k hands. All datamined, so no real history. Thoughts? I felt like he was betting a large percentage of his turn range...and once that checked through, I felt he was better an even bigger percentage of his river range if I checked.

Party Poker, $2/$4 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

Hero (UTG): $484.80
MP: $350
CO: $382.50
BTN: $613.48
SB: $922.40
BB: $451.20

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (UTG)
<font color="red">Hero raises to $16</font>, MP folds, CO calls $16, 3 folds

Flop: ($38) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $30</font>, CO calls $30

Turn: ($98) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO checks

River: ($98) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">CO bets $80</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $196</font>

Re: unstandard AA line against nit
 

looks fine to me, 13/9s dont really ever CC t8s or 58s pf so you should be fine, hopefully he hit a set of 9's on the river and you get it all in

Re: unstandard AA line against nit
 

too fps IMO u can either charge him for draw 100% of time on turn or hope he charges himself on river (80% x bluffing frequency) percent of the time.

Re: unstandard AA line against nit
 

in short, losing valueeeeeeeeeee

Re: unstandard AA line against nit
 

Love the line but I would raise river to ~$250

Re: unstandard AA line against nit
 

I just bet the turn.

Re: unstandard AA line against nit
 

I think I am more likely to c/r someone who is a little looser pf. They will try and float more, whereas a 13/9 isn't floating so much, which means he will bet mainly strong hands, of which he is not folding either if we bet so might as well bet the turn.

As played, I like the river c/r.

Re: unstandard AA line against nit
 

What the hell does a 13/9 call an UTG opener with preflop? All pairs and big suited hands. Any aces at all?

You line maximizes against 88-JJ. Thats about it. Just bet the turn.

Re: unstandard AA line against nit
 

only do this with history.

Re: unstandard AA line against nit
 

If your going to do this, I raise more on the river. $250 or so looks good.