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-   -   the proof is in the pudding (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=558392)

cato-tonia 12-01-2007 12:38 AM

the proof is in the pudding
 
my record on twoplustwo, selections vs. spread:

W-Hawaii/Boise
W-Louisville/Rutgers
L-Missouri/Kansas
L-LSU/Ark
W-USC/AriSte
W-Akron/Miami(OH)
W-Nevada/MSte
W-Texas/OSU
W-Indy/Pats
L-USC/Oregon
W-Boise/Fresno
W-Bears/GB
W-Pats/Buffalo
L-Indiana/Wisconsin
W-OSU/PSU
W-Den/Pit
W-Fla(halftime)/Kentucky
W-Rice/SMiss
W-Cal/Oregon

15W/4L

it has been stated that a selector cannot hit 60% winners consistently; and most of the serious contributors here insist it is ridiculous to claim otherwise. the truth: i have hit 62% winners on average per football season, and have done so professionally. those who disbelieve the possibility of such things merely limit themselves.

-c

bills217 12-01-2007 12:48 AM

Re: the proof is in the pudding
 
http://www.homelyscientist.com/wp-co...05/popcorn.jpg

cato-tonia 12-01-2007 01:05 AM

Re: the proof is in the pudding
 
can i keep the bowl?

hedgie43 12-01-2007 01:06 AM

Re: the proof is in the pudding
 
LOL at Pats-Colts. You said you were on the ML, not the points.

brendanb438 12-01-2007 01:44 AM

Re: the proof is in the pudding
 
OP are you a clown? You sound like one. Congrats on an amazing performance over such a long period of time. Are you going tout yet and how much can we pay ya for your picks?

Post-Oak 12-01-2007 01:46 AM

Re: the proof is in the pudding
 
[ QUOTE ]
my record on twoplustwo, selections vs. spread:

W-Hawaii/Boise
W-Louisville/Rutgers
L-Missouri/Kansas
L-LSU/Ark
W-USC/AriSte
W-Akron/Miami(OH)
W-Nevada/MSte
W-Texas/OSU
W-Indy/Pats
L-USC/Oregon
W-Boise/Fresno
W-Bears/GB
W-Pats/Buffalo
L-Indiana/Wisconsin
W-OSU/PSU
W-Den/Pit
W-Fla(halftime)/Kentucky
W-Rice/SMiss
W-Cal/Oregon

15W/4L

it has been stated that a selector cannot hit 60% winners consistently; and most of the serious contributors here insist it is ridiculous to claim otherwise. the truth: i have hit 62% winners on average per football season, and have done so professionally. those who disbelieve the possibility of such things merely limit themselves.

-c

[/ QUOTE ]

Let's make a prop bet. I will lay you 3 to 2 that you can't pick 60 out of 100 winners versus widely available lines. We will have to post the money up before hand of course.

If you pick anywhere close to 62%, this is a huge edge for you. I will lay up to $15K to win $10K.

Accepting this bet will go a long way towards proving your sincerity.

bills217 12-01-2007 01:57 AM

Re: the proof is in the pudding
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
my record on twoplustwo, selections vs. spread:

W-Hawaii/Boise
W-Louisville/Rutgers
L-Missouri/Kansas
L-LSU/Ark
W-USC/AriSte
W-Akron/Miami(OH)
W-Nevada/MSte
W-Texas/OSU
W-Indy/Pats
L-USC/Oregon
W-Boise/Fresno
W-Bears/GB
W-Pats/Buffalo
L-Indiana/Wisconsin
W-OSU/PSU
W-Den/Pit
W-Fla(halftime)/Kentucky
W-Rice/SMiss
W-Cal/Oregon

15W/4L

it has been stated that a selector cannot hit 60% winners consistently; and most of the serious contributors here insist it is ridiculous to claim otherwise. the truth: i have hit 62% winners on average per football season, and have done so professionally. those who disbelieve the possibility of such things merely limit themselves.

-c

[/ QUOTE ]

Let's make a prop bet. I will lay you 3 to 2 that you can't pick 60 out of 100 winners versus widely available lines. We will have to post the money up before hand of course.

If you pick anywhere close to 62%, this is a huge edge for you. I will lay up to $15K to win $10K.

Accepting this bet will go a long way towards proving your sincerity.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'd probably like some action along these lines as well.

I don't see how tlt can refuse - for someone with a long-term track record of 62% winners, to turn this down would be hating money.

michw 12-01-2007 02:12 AM

Re: the proof is in the pudding
 
the proof of the pudding is the eating

kyleb 12-01-2007 02:39 AM

Re: the proof is in the pudding
 
i just ate some pudding

that being said i'll lay 3:2 as well for $5k if you want more action.

Performify 12-01-2007 02:41 AM

Re: the proof is in the pudding
 
From the FAQ:

# What is the highest sustainable win rate in point spread betting?
# Generally, somewhere in the 55%-60% range is considered the maximum that is sustainable. However, if you start approaching the higher end of that range, you are probably passing up some +EV wagers.



(emphasis added)



Not to say anything about sample size, yadda yadda.

No one says its "impossible" to pick 60%.


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