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-   -   Rate my bluff (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=531925)

InsideEdge 10-26-2007 01:58 PM

Rate my bluff
 
Villian pretty nitty running at 15/10/3 over a small sample. Have been trying to open up my game a bit and try a few more bluffs, this wouldnt be standard for me. Wouldnt have tried it if i didnt have the nut flush draw to fall back on.

Spew or cool?
Converted with iPoker network converter at KJpoker.com
Comments and ratings can be found there.

Played at iPoker network
5 players, seat 10 is the button

Seat 1: SB ($102.00)
Seat 3: BB ($155.70)
Seat 5: UTG ($127.38)
Seat 8: <font color="#C80000">Hero</font> ($105.50)
Seat 10: BTN ($125.20)

SB posts small blind, $0.50
BB posts big blind, $1.00

Dealing to <font color="#C80000">Hero</font>:
J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img],A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

UTG folds
<font color="#C80000">Hero</font> raises to $4
BTN folds
SB raises to $13.5
BB folds
<font color="#C80000">Hero</font> calls

Dealing flop: (Pot is $28.00)
K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img],8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img],6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

SB bets $18
<font color="#C80000">Hero</font> calls

Dealing turn: (Pot is $64.00)
6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

SB checks
<font color="#C80000">Hero</font> bets $74


DaycareInferno 10-26-2007 02:10 PM

Re: Rate my bluff
 
i wouldn't try to bluff 3betting 15/10 guys. the tighter they are before the flop, the worse they are at laying down hands after the flop. when you wait 10 minutes to see a flop, you don't really want to give up.

jakrpanda 10-26-2007 02:11 PM

Re: Rate my bluff
 

When a board gets paired up, should we slow down? One of those questions I've had lingering and this hand shows why.

Poker monkey 10-26-2007 02:27 PM

Re: Rate my bluff
 
I like it. I don't think I'd bet quite so big though - $50 should do the trick and is maybe more believable.

However I think you should fold pre-flop versus this player - you're behind his range, and floating on this flop isn't standard either.

Edit: on second thoughts, the fact the board paired should make you less inclined to bet here, because you're no longer drawing to the nuts and could even be drawing dead.

awarunn 10-26-2007 02:31 PM

Re: Rate my bluff
 
Given his probable range and how likely he is to fold according to the hands in that range I think this is probably -EV.

ejay 10-26-2007 02:54 PM

Re: Rate my bluff
 
fold pf

Hince 10-26-2007 02:57 PM

Re: Rate my bluff
 
If you are going to bluff, bet $30 then shove the river.

duckyfuzz 10-26-2007 03:03 PM

Re: Rate my bluff
 
I don't like preflop but I would bet this turn since we got here. There's no benefit to betting $74 over $30 though so I go with the smaller size and call a shove or shove the river if he calls.

HellRoxYa 10-26-2007 06:18 PM

Re: Rate my bluff
 
He makes the nuts with 88 or KK and you bluff your A high flushdraw? Looks awesome.

Mjafish 10-26-2007 06:24 PM

Re: Rate my bluff
 
I think its meh. he probably folds QQ-TT with no clubs, but these nitty 15/10 guys tend not to give up easily.

fold preflop.


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