Semi-Bluff on a Dry Board: $3/$6
 

Villain is mostly unknown, but has taggish stats (mostly datamined). He's been fairly aggressive post flop, and I've seen him raise donk bets in the past. This is the first time I have ever donked into him, or anyone at this table for that matter. From his stats, he appears to be a decent winner.

I am most likely unknown to him.

I doubled up by playing AA hard on a low flop, and stacking UTGs QQ. I have been fairly quiet, otherwise.

He has been picking up a fair amount of small pots without showdown.

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $3/$6
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $600
UTG+1: $547.50
CO: $954
Button: $594
SB: $410.65
Hero: $1145.50

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is BB with 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises to $21</font>, 2 folds, Hero calls.

Flop: 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($45, 3 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $35</font>, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises to $111</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $255</font>

I plan on giving up on the turn, unless I improve my draw such that I have to shove.

Re: Semi-Bluff on a Dry Board: $3/$6
 

you aren't really folding any made hands,

for legitimate hands J7s (2), 33(3) and 77(3) which I think given stack sizes you would just c/r bet bet with.

Given that you have been pretty tight I think he is less likely to try and raise this flop against you as a bluff especially as it's the first time you have done it. I think villain will almost always call here and leave you in a terrible spot on the turn without an 8 rolling out or perhaps the Q or K of clubs.

Re: Semi-Bluff on a Dry Board: $3/$6
 

Maybe I should incorporate donking into my play but I usually c/r my gutter in situations like this. You think donking is better?

Re: Semi-Bluff on a Dry Board: $3/$6
 

[ QUOTE ]
leave you in a terrible spot on the turn

[/ QUOTE ]
I'm pretty sure it's impossible for me to ever be in a terrible spot, in this hand.

Re: Semi-Bluff on a Dry Board: $3/$6
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
leave you in a terrible spot on the turn

[/ QUOTE ]
I'm pretty sure it's impossible for me to ever be in a terrible spot, in this hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

how so?

Re: Semi-Bluff on a Dry Board: $3/$6
 

Also, in case I wasn't clear, I've only been at the table for like 3 orbits. Haven't done anything noteworthy, yet, aside from the AA hand, which was more or less standard.

Re: Semi-Bluff on a Dry Board: $3/$6
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
leave you in a terrible spot on the turn

[/ QUOTE ]
I'm pretty sure it's impossible for me to ever be in a terrible spot, in this hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

how so?

[/ QUOTE ]
What terrible spot are you envisioning?

If I get called, I just check/fold, if I hit a blank.

Re: Semi-Bluff on a Dry Board: $3/$6
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
leave you in a terrible spot on the turn

[/ QUOTE ]
I'm pretty sure it's impossible for me to ever be in a terrible spot, in this hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

how so?

[/ QUOTE ]
What terrible spot are you envisioning?

If I get called, I just check/fold, if I hit a blank.

[/ QUOTE ]

given your depth I think that a turn bet is strong against some people if they just call the turn, especially since the bet/3-bet alone looks pretty weak.

Also when a club comes you have a pretty strong hand. To be honest I think checking the turn is best because we will often get a free card.

Re: Semi-Bluff on a Dry Board: $3/$6
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
leave you in a terrible spot on the turn

[/ QUOTE ]
I'm pretty sure it's impossible for me to ever be in a terrible spot, in this hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

how so?

[/ QUOTE ]

pretty sure ten high is no good here

Re: Semi-Bluff on a Dry Board: $3/$6
 

[ QUOTE ]
especially since the bet/3-bet alone looks pretty weak.

[/ QUOTE ]
lol, ok