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-   -   trips min-raised turn (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=439479)

drsmooth 06-30-2007 04:29 AM

trips min-raised turn
 
OK so I'm gonna start posting one or two hands a day where I feel stumped, recurring problems etc.

On to this hand. The past few times I'd raised preflop villain called, called a flop c-bet and folded to a second barrel on turn. Is a turn min-raise usually a value bet, and if so, do we beat anything someone value bets with?

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $6.45
UTG+1: $6
CO: $7.55
Hero: $10.30
SB: $13.65
BB: $9.05

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
2 folds, CO calls, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $0.45</font>, 2 folds, CO calls.

Flop: 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($1.05, 2 players)
CO checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $0.8</font>, CO calls.

Turn: J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($2.65, 2 players)
CO checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $2.1</font>, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises to $4.2</font>, Hero....



too kind

Manchild84 06-30-2007 04:53 AM

Re: Top pair min-raised turn
 
Well, we're ahead of KJ, QJ, JT, which are all likely in villains range. I'd push this.

James81 06-30-2007 04:56 AM

Re: Top pair min-raised turn
 
He can put you maybe on an overpair with his JT,QJ,KJ.

He can although have trip 9 or 8s. But even with that you got trapped and have to pay him off.

Emperor Norton 06-30-2007 05:20 AM

Re: Top pair min-raised turn
 
Board: Jc Jh 8s 9d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 33.129% 27.27% 05.86% 468 100.50 { AdJd }
Hand 1: 66.871% 61.01% 05.86% 1047 100.50 { 99-88, AJs, KJs, QTs, J8s+, AJo, KJo, QTo, J8o+ }

I don't think we're committed to this hand. Unless villain is getting frisky with air or something like T9 a bunch of the time, we're in pretty bad shape.

tripdeuces 06-30-2007 05:55 AM

Re: Top pair min-raised turn
 
what hands that we are losing to calling that flop?

I would put villain all in here on the turn.

robinmbuk 06-30-2007 08:27 AM

Re: Top pair min-raised turn
 
Push, this is trip jacks with a weaker kicker way too often, could even be some kind of straight draw thinking that the turn card is scary for you if you have AA/KK/QQ

drsmooth 06-30-2007 09:12 PM

Re: Top pair min-raised turn
 
Well I was pretty lost, figured since he played flop passively and only raised when the second jack hit that he probably had a weaker jack, and if not I had outs, so I just called the re-evaluate on river, esp since he had not so much behind (if I call he had a couple of bucks left)

I filled up, second 9 hit and he pushed. I call obv, he flopped the nut straight, Q10. He slowplayed, I got lucky by sucking out. I'm trying not to be 'results orientated' so I posted this hand wondering, did I just get lucky or was my thought proccess correct? (in general, not this specific hand)


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