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-   -   Most +EV ? AKs preflop (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=514267)

CruS 10-02-2007 09:06 PM

Most +EV ? AKs preflop
 
CO is 16/8/21 and deep with me
SB is 44/9

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

SB ($18.65)
Hero ($50.90)
UTG ($23.65)
MP ($2.80)
CO ($50.65)
Button ($51.65)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises to $2.8 (All-In)</font>, CO calls $2.80, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB calls $2.70, <font color="#CC3333"> Hero? </font>

What's my best +EV move, I guess I crush their holdings

prodonkey 10-02-2007 09:08 PM

Re: Most +EV ? AKs preflop
 
I'd raise to like $15.. if SB calls that's ok.. CO will probably fold his small pair or suited stuff he's playing.

CruS 10-02-2007 09:10 PM

Re: Most +EV ? AKs preflop
 
and calls if CO shoves?

prodonkey 10-02-2007 09:13 PM

Re: Most +EV ? AKs preflop
 
I guess it depends on your read of CO.. most people aren't calling AA behind an all in there hoping someone squeezes unless you or SB are habitual squeezers, but most people at 25nl don't even think like that. I think I'd call his all because I just wouldn't believe he would play AA or KK like that.

Trogdor! 10-02-2007 09:15 PM

Re: Most +EV ? AKs preflop
 
yes you must squeeze this preflop, AK hates 4 handed

ild probably fold if CO shoves, call/push shows alot of strength but i doubt he will push

Trogdor! 10-02-2007 09:18 PM

Re: Most +EV ? AKs preflop
 
[ QUOTE ]
I guess it depends on your read of CO.. most people aren't calling AA behind an all in there hoping someone squeezes unless you or SB are habitual squeezers, but most people at 25nl don't even think like that. I think I'd call his all because I just wouldn't believe he would play AA or KK like that.

[/ QUOTE ]
hes thinking would more likely be "zomg AA, ill call to get more people in the pot and not raise them off there hands.....zomg a raise, that guy must have a strong hand and we are deep ill PUUSHH"

Leviathan101 10-02-2007 09:19 PM

Re: Most +EV ? AKs preflop
 
Raise to $12. Instacall if SB pushes... CO is trickier. It really depends whether or not he can cold call AA and KK here. Like it's hard for me to imagine him pushing a worse hand than AKs here, so I guess I'd fold. If he pushes back over, I'd say a loose range is like, 88+, AK, AQ maybe. I'd fold there, since I think his range is actually much tighter.

toddxlogan 10-02-2007 09:24 PM

Re: Most +EV ? AKs preflop
 
CO a thinking player at all? Sure he's nitty, but he looks SUPER aggressive (agg factor 21???), and that leads me to think he might be smart enough to be able to spot a squeeze. (your raise). This may or may not make him smart enough to find a "good" spot to resqueeze.

This possibility makes me think raising 12-15pf and calling a shove from either of these guys is probably the best thing you can do.

Effen 10-02-2007 10:08 PM

Re: Most +EV ? AKs preflop
 
The 21 aggression factor just means he doesn't call postflop.. most people don't include the preflop agg numbers in.

Even if it does, this is an easy 4bet to $14 bc with his stats, is he ever flatcalling AA/KK to "trap" a halfstack?

tufat23 10-02-2007 10:10 PM

Re: Most +EV ? AKs preflop
 
$16.22 call shove.


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