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-   -   50r bubble I aint never scared neither (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=555107)

Bonified 11-26-2007 08:48 PM

50r bubble I aint never scared neither
 
On the bubble, $50 rebuy. Hero is 28/28 in chips.

$50+$5 Hold'em No Limit - Level XIV (1000/2000)
9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 2: xxx (37403 in chips)
Seat 3: Hero (15135 in chips)
Seat 5: xxx (17570 in chips)
Seat 6: xxx (72262 in chips)
Seat 7: xxx (59320 in chips)
Seat 8: xxx (19475 in chips)
Seat 9: Villain (93182 in chips)
Hero: posts small blind 1000
xxx: posts big blind 2000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero [Qd Ad]
[3 folds]
Villain: raises 3000 to 5000
[ fold ]
Hero ???

But ... while pondering this, you notice that a player has busted out on another table. Now what ?

I have already worked this out to my satisfaction but would be interested to hear views.

TonyG_ 11-26-2007 08:51 PM

Re: 50r bubble I aint never scared neither
 
Nice title, now go all in cuz u aint never scared!

TheNewf 11-26-2007 09:09 PM

Re: 50r bubble I aint never scared neither
 
This one I really want to shove but I don't think you can do it profitably

erocplayer 11-26-2007 09:55 PM

Re: 50r bubble I aint never scared neither
 
if the villian has been raising liberally since you got close to the bubble, i shove. even if he's pushing only a little hard and raising something like, {22+, ATo+, A8s+, KJo+, JTs+} then you're about %55 to win.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 53.673% 50.25% 03.43% 131639052 8973890.00 { AdQd }
Hand 1: 46.327% 42.90% 03.43% 112395680 8973890.00 { 22+, ATs+, KTs+, JTs, ATo+, KJo+ }

even if he's not opening that wide, you desperately need chips if you're going to do anything impressive in this tournament. true, you'll be in LP soon enough and can try to steal, but i'd prefer to flip for a dblup then grind for tiny bits here and there.

omg im l337 11-26-2007 09:58 PM

Re: 50r bubble I aint never scared neither
 
There is 7k in the pot if I counted correctly, and you're a favorite against his range. This is a shove.

jordankickz 11-26-2007 10:23 PM

Re: 50r bubble I aint never scared neither
 
I would never fold here

shaundeeb 11-26-2007 10:29 PM

Re: 50r bubble I aint never scared neither
 
adanthar will back this up but this is a fold knowing someone busted obv easy shove if not.

erocplayer 11-26-2007 10:34 PM

Re: 50r bubble I aint never scared neither
 
[ QUOTE ]
adanthar will back this up but this is a fold knowing someone busted obv easy shove if not.

[/ QUOTE ]

why is this?
if the player busting has any effect on the way the hand is played, i would imagine it would influence the hero to get them in there. why is it the opposite?

TheNewf 11-26-2007 11:15 PM

Re: 50r bubble I aint never scared neither
 
If hero busts this hand he bubbles because it's H4H and he is shortest stack

omg im l337 11-26-2007 11:19 PM

Re: 50r bubble I aint never scared neither
 
Why would you fold if the bubble has broken??


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