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-   -   River decision agains twin-caracas (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=552798)

sdv 11-23-2007 10:11 AM

River decision agains twin-caracas
 
We haven't history, but i knew he was awful good about 1-2 years ago. Probably still good.
Probably very laggish. Did you value this river?


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $10 BB (6 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

BB ($1015)
UTG ($476.50)
MP ($831.25)
CO ($925)
Button ($100)
Hero ($1067)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to $40</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $130</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO calls $90.

Flop: ($270) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, CO checks.

Turn: ($270) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $160</font>, CO calls $160.

River: ($590) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, CO bets $635, Hero - folds.
Final Pot: $590

Laetus 11-23-2007 10:53 AM

Re: River decision agains twin-caracas
 
Why no bet on flop?

TheWorstPlayer 11-23-2007 11:14 AM

Re: River decision agains twin-caracas
 
get it in on the flop. c/f the river looks ok.

*FamilyGuyFan* 11-23-2007 11:20 AM

Re: River decision agains twin-caracas
 
[ QUOTE ]
get it in on the flop

[/ QUOTE ]

So you think we have 35-30% equity?

Laetus 11-23-2007 11:30 AM

Re: River decision agains twin-caracas
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
get it in on the flop

[/ QUOTE ]

So you think we have 35-30% equity?

[/ QUOTE ]
We most likely have (ad in some pure bluffs, and we should have even better EQ):

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 68.128% 66.99% 01.14% 375108351 6357595.50 { JJ+, 99, AhQh, AhJh, KhQh, 8h7h }
Hand 1: 31.872% 30.74% 01.14% 172099866 6357595.50 { KQo }

TheWorstPlayer 11-23-2007 11:35 AM

Re: River decision agains twin-caracas
 
he can have 22 and T8 and whatever else, too.

tzimisc 11-23-2007 04:11 PM

Re: River decision agains twin-caracas
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
get it in on the flop

[/ QUOTE ]

So you think we have 35-30% equity?

[/ QUOTE ]
We most likely have (ad in some pure bluffs, and we should have even better EQ):

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 68.128% 66.99% 01.14% 375108351 6357595.50 { JJ+, 99, AhQh, AhJh, KhQh, 8h7h }
Hand 1: 31.872% 30.74% 01.14% 172099866 6357595.50 { KQo }

[/ QUOTE ]

am I missing something?
this is the equity preflop right?
if you put that range against KQo, you have 20% equity

quickfetus 11-24-2007 05:55 AM

Re: River decision agains twin-caracas
 
Grunch.

I fold preflop, but that's because "I'm a tagfish who always folds" to borrow some 2+2ers location (is it spino or something?) I definitely make it around 200 on the flop. Turn looks fine. As for river: How light will he valuebet here?

Disclaimer: I only play this high live.

Ship Ship McGipp 11-24-2007 06:02 AM

Re: River decision agains twin-caracas
 
[ QUOTE ]
get it in on the flop. c/f the river looks ok.

[/ QUOTE ]

twp, serious question here.

you want to bet 175 or 200 and call a shove here, yea?

TheWorstPlayer 11-24-2007 11:30 AM

Re: River decision agains twin-caracas
 
pot it and call a 2/3 pot-sized shove, yeah.


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