600NL Alarm bells go off
 

Who plays a hand like this? What do people ever have here? Villain is 21/8ish...6max I snapcall his soul, but we are slightly deep and it was a 4handed pot and the full ring nittery I have encountered lately astounds me..

Poker Stars, $3/$6 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

UTG+2: $721.80
Hero (MP1): $931.70
MP2: $744.40
CO: $806.35
BTN: $351
SB: $615
BB: $831.30
UTG: $227.10
UTG+1: $333.30

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (MP1)
3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $24</font>, MP2 folds, CO calls $24, BTN folds, SB calls $21, BB calls $18

Flop: ($96) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (4 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">BB bets $6</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $99</font>, 2 folds, <font color="red">BB raises to $807.30 and is All-In</font>, Hero ????

Re: Alarm bells go off
 

Folder

Re: Alarm bells go off
 

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Folder

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Why?

Re: Alarm bells go off
 

fold is good here. Only worse hands he ever shows up with are AcXc and 5c6c and you're not even far ahead of those. He has a set here most of the time and 2 pair the rest of the time (maybe a naked FD 10% max). Obviously there is like a 2% chance of a bluff and he can still backdoor you there.

Re: Alarm bells go off
 

Seems like an easy fold to me. Usually when bad players weak lead out then push all in = set here

Re: Alarm bells go off
 

[ QUOTE ]
fold is good here. Only worse hands he ever shows up with are AcXc and 5c6c and you're not even far ahead of those. He has a set here most of the time and 2 pair the rest of the time (maybe a naked FD 10% max). Obviously there is like a 2% chance of a bluff and he can still backdoor you there.

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What % of his range is simple Ax that we beat? If we are playing 6max and I snap call this I am always shown AJo [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]

Re: Alarm bells go off
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
fold is good here. Only worse hands he ever shows up with are AcXc and 5c6c and you're not even far ahead of those. He has a set here most of the time and 2 pair the rest of the time (maybe a naked FD 10% max). Obviously there is like a 2% chance of a bluff and he can still backdoor you there.

[/ QUOTE ]

What % of his range is simple Ax that we beat? If we are playing 6max and I snap call this I am always shown AJo [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]

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In FR a 21/8 shows up with a worse ace close to never. I'd say maybe 2% of the time max.

Re: Alarm bells go off
 

You're seeing AJ here close to never! I'd say this is a set by far most of the times and sometimes you might split with a weird, passively played AK...

Re: Alarm bells go off
 

I think this is a FD more than anything else. Either that or a set or A7/A4. I really doubt it is any other Ax hand.

With that said you are too deep to make this call.