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-   -   unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=547341)

DanielDayLewis 11-16-2007 01:13 AM

unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
nanooko doing flips w/ get loo$e. Probably done about 30 so far.

DanielDayLewis 11-16-2007 01:20 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
-GeT Loo$e-: 10 more?
nanonoko: score?
IfIHadItAll: nano wins 22k
IfIHadItAll: 7-3
nanonoko: you said you were done
-GeT Loo$e-: no

11-16-2007 01:21 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
-GeT Loo$e-: 47
nanonoko: t5
IfIHadItAll: 4-2 nan
Dealer: -GeT Loo$e- has high card King
Dealer: nanonoko has two pair, Tens and Fives
Dealer: Game #13268672140: nanonoko wins pot ($9999) with two pair, Tens and Fives
-GeT Loo$e-: annoying
IfIHadItAll: don t post
nanonoko: rebuy
-GeT Loo$e-: ****
Dealer: Hand cancelled, bets returned
Dealer: A new game will start in 15 seconds
-GeT Loo$e-: my bad
nanonoko: ruin my luck
-GeT Loo$e-: good
-GeT Loo$e-: 6 - 4
-GeT Loo$e-: im feelin i sweep
nanonoko: whta's the score
-GeT Loo$e-: 4 - 2
-GeT Loo$e-: ur lead
-GeT Loo$e-: k9
nanonoko: 72
Dealer: nanonoko has a pair of Deuces
Dealer: -GeT Loo$e- has a pair of Kings
Dealer: Game #13268683466: -GeT Loo$e- wins pot ($9999) with a pair of Kings
-GeT Loo$e-: HERE IT COMES
-GeT Loo$e-: CLEAN SWEEP
-GeT Loo$e-: ship the 23o
nanonoko: 78
Dealer: -GeT Loo$e- has a pair of Deuces
Dealer: nanonoko has a flush, King high
Dealer: Game #13268690607: nanonoko wins pot ($9999) with a flush, King high
-GeT Loo$e-: unfair
-GeT Loo$e-: u shoulda said 78hh
nanonoko: my bad
-GeT Loo$e-: thought i won
nanonoko: sorry
-GeT Loo$e-: 3 - 5?
nanonoko: all in here is okay
nanonoko: close enough
-GeT Loo$e-: a3
nanonoko: a8
-GeT Loo$e-: 22222222222222
Dealer: nanonoko has high card Ace
-GeT Loo$e-: how stupid
Dealer: Game #13268695667: nanonoko wins pot ($9997) with high card Ace
nanonoko: 1 more?
Dealer: Hand cancelled
Dealer: A new game will start in 15 seconds
-GeT Loo$e-: 3 - 6
-GeT Loo$e-: yeeah
IfIHadItAll: this is enormous
PokerSavage1: fishes
nanonoko: j5
-GeT Loo$e-: a2
-GeT Loo$e-: ****in ****
PokerSavage1: ifihaditall wants in
Dealer: -GeT Loo$e- has a pair of Sevens
Dealer: nanonoko has two pair, Jacks and Sevens
Dealer: Game #13268707052: nanonoko wins pot ($9999) with two pair, Jacks and Sevens
-GeT Loo$e-: ****
IfIHadItAll: so sick
Dealer: Hand cancelled
-GeT Loo$e-: 10 more?
nanonoko: score?
IfIHadItAll: nano wins 22k
IfIHadItAll: 7-3
nanonoko: you said you were done
-GeT Loo$e-: no
-GeT Loo$e-: **** that
nanonoko: unless 8-2
-GeT Loo$e-: **** that
-GeT Loo$e-: 10 more
nanonoko: verification!
-GeT Loo$e-: uin?

raw chat.

gogogogogo!

DanielDayLewis 11-16-2007 01:22 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
-GeT Loo$e-: u couild make it
-GeT Loo$e-: +40k
-GeT Loo$e-: urr 42k
-GeT Loo$e-: wait
-GeT Loo$e-: i dont even want to think about that
nanonoko: lol

11-16-2007 01:26 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
nanonoko: getloose you said last one
-GeT Loo$e-: u can quit me
nanonoko: last time
-GeT Loo$e-: after this set
nanonoko: take a break
-GeT Loo$e-: swear on life
PokerSavage1: he said last one... now he says one more
PokerSavage1: gl
-GeT Loo$e-: ya ya
-GeT Loo$e-: last one
-GeT Loo$e-: leave after this set
PokerSavage1: gonna b tough for u to win loose
-GeT Loo$e-: nano do 10 more
nanonoko: no no i need break
-GeT Loo$e-: then leave table
-GeT Loo$e-: come on
nanonoko: my heart hurts
IfIHadItAll: lol
-GeT Loo$e-: i was up on u
PokerSavage1: what a chicken
-GeT Loo$e-: and i kept goin
IfIHadItAll: @ HEAD HURTS
nanonoko: same difference! u know that
-GeT Loo$e-: ur stomach should hurt if anything
PokerSavage1: hit n running in flips
IfIHadItAll: my advice;
IfIHadItAll: 10 5ks
IfIHadItAll: then
IfIHadItAll: 10 4k
IfIHadItAll: then 10 3k
PokerSavage1: lol
IfIHadItAll: then 10 2k
nanonoko: ifihad itall want sto do
IfIHadItAll: then 10 1k
nanonoko: 10k flips
IfIHadItAll: then 10 $600
IfIHadItAll: then thats it
-GeT Loo$e-: ill do 10k flips
nanonoko: how is that even possible
-GeT Loo$e-: do it on ftp
-GeT Loo$e-: lol
-GeT Loo$e-: 10 5s
-GeT Loo$e-: and then
-GeT Loo$e-: u can leave
nanonoko: i dont even have enough on ftp to do that lol
IfIHadItAll: just do 5ks
IfIHadItAll: and if get wins
-GeT Loo$e-: 10 5s
IfIHadItAll: u can do a 10k
-GeT Loo$e-: if i win
brea: is this how you guys built your bankrolls?
-GeT Loo$e-: ill give u the opp
-GeT Loo$e-: to reflip
IfIHadItAll: flipping obv

Bavid Denyamine 11-16-2007 01:30 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
TMMS

Bipolar00 11-16-2007 01:33 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
[ QUOTE ]
TMMS

[/ QUOTE ]

word...as evidenced by their latest discussion of doing 60 more flips

john voight 11-17-2007 07:11 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
60 flips is pretty neutral EV discounting rake i think
and the variance is way less than doing 1 or 2 flips.

but ya, thtas pretty degen. 1 flip is degen imo, 60 is sick degen.

ElGuapo23 11-17-2007 07:35 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
[ QUOTE ]
1 flips is exactly neutral EV discounting rake i think


[/ QUOTE ]

Sukie 11-17-2007 08:18 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
[ QUOTE ]
60 flips is pretty neutral EV discounting rake i think
and the variance is way less than doing 1 or 2 flips.

but ya, thtas pretty degen. 1 flip is degen imo, 60 is sick degen.

[/ QUOTE ]
[img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

Keepitsimple 11-17-2007 08:31 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
[ QUOTE ]
60 flips is pretty neutral EV discounting rake i think
and the variance is way less than doing 1 or 2 flips.

but ya, thtas pretty degen. 1 flip is degen imo, 60 is sick degen.

[/ QUOTE ]
I hope you realise that there is no correlation from previous tosses. What averages out is profit/# tosses. Not the net win/loss.

KamiKatze 11-17-2007 09:15 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
Let's say you flip a coin two times. Both times the outcome is "A". Now, if you flip the coin again the chance of outcome "B", is much higher, around 66%.

This is true, i asked Jennifer Tilly and she confirmed.

RoundTower 11-17-2007 09:40 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
[ QUOTE ]

and the variance is way more than doing 1 or 2 flips.


[/ QUOTE ]

Rushmore 11-17-2007 09:50 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
[ QUOTE ]
60 flips is pretty neutral EV discounting rake i think
and the variance is way less than doing 1 or 2 flips.


[/ QUOTE ]

Winner: Most Incredibly Baffling Post of the Day.

Abbaddabba 11-17-2007 09:59 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 

http://img100.imageshack.us/img100/866/proofsz3.th.png

DanielDayLewis 11-17-2007 10:29 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
Abbaddabba,

Are you ababababba on party? If so I hate playing against you.

citanul 11-17-2007 10:34 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
When playing a real life game, you have to take in to account both effects:

1) "i believe that flipping this coin has 50/50 odds of each outcome so the next outcome should be 50/50, regardless of previous information"

2) "i have seen the outcomes be not 50/50, and should consider that perhaps my beliefs about probabilities of outcomes were incorrect."

Abbaddabba 11-17-2007 10:35 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
no, im not
that bitch is an imposter.

evil_ronnie 11-17-2007 11:06 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
[ QUOTE ]
Let's say you flip a coin two times. Both times the outcome is "A". Now, if you flip the coin again the chance of outcome "B", is much higher, around 66%.

This is true, i asked Jennifer Tilly and she confirmed.

[/ QUOTE ]

You are joking right? It doesn't matter what the previous outcomes are, each time you flip a coin the chance of outcome "A" or "B" is 50/50 EVERY time.

Borys313 11-17-2007 11:14 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
60 flips is pretty neutral EV discounting rake i think
and the variance is way less than doing 1 or 2 flips.

but ya, thtas pretty degen. 1 flip is degen imo, 60 is sick degen.

[/ QUOTE ]
I hope you realise that there is no correlation from previous tosses. What averages out is profit/# tosses. Not the net win/loss.

[/ QUOTE ]

The standard deviation is 8 times bigger with 60 flips, and your are more then likely to be +- 5units.

DLizzle 11-17-2007 11:50 AM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
results?

BigSoonerFan 11-17-2007 12:04 PM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Let's say you flip a coin two times. Both times the outcome is "A". Now, if you flip the coin again the chance of outcome "B", is much higher, around 66%.

This is true, i asked Jennifer Tilly and she confirmed.

[/ QUOTE ]

You are joking right? It doesn't matter what the previous outcomes are, each time you flip a coin the chance of outcome "A" or "B" is 50/50 EVERY time.

[/ QUOTE ]

It's true. We always go to Jennifer Tilly or Brandi for our statistical validations.

john voight 11-17-2007 06:38 PM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
guys if i flip 1 millions times, wouldn't I be closer to the expected result of 0EV? Isn't it the same as "low sample size" .

Obv after 1 flip your either -1 or +1, but everyone always says more sample = more accuaret result.

Thats all I was getting at.

Dire 11-17-2007 08:09 PM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
[ QUOTE ]
guys if i flip 1 millions times, wouldn't I be closer to the expected result of 0EV? Isn't it the same as "low sample size" .

Obv after 1 flip your either -1 or +1, but everyone always says more sample = more accuaret result.

Thats all I was getting at.

[/ QUOTE ]

More accurate % wise. It converges on 0, which is different than saying it's more likely to equal 0. Say you're down 100 flips after 2,000,000 tries. So you have 999,900 wins and 1,000,100 losses. That's like .001% off =EV, but it's a difference of half a million $$.

donkeykong2 11-17-2007 08:23 PM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
your ev does not converge with more flips. standard deviation gets bigger every time. it will get less bigger every time though .

imabigdeal 11-17-2007 09:07 PM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Let's say you flip a coin two times. Both times the outcome is "A". Now, if you flip the coin again the chance of outcome "B", is much higher, around 66%.

This is true, i asked Jennifer Tilly and she confirmed.

[/ QUOTE ]

You are joking right? It doesn't matter what the previous outcomes are, each time you flip a coin the chance of outcome "A" or "B" is 50/50 EVERY time.

[/ QUOTE ]

he mentions confirming it with jennifer tilly and you still get levelled? ouch.

budblown 11-17-2007 11:33 PM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Let's say you flip a coin two times. Both times the outcome is "A". Now, if you flip the coin again the chance of outcome "B", is much higher, around 66%.

This is true, i asked Jennifer Tilly and she confirmed.

[/ QUOTE ]

You are joking right? It doesn't matter what the previous outcomes are, each time you flip a coin the chance of outcome "A" or "B" is 50/50 EVERY time.

[/ QUOTE ]

he mentions confirming it with jennifer tilly and you still get levelled? ouch.

[/ QUOTE ]

Seb86 11-17-2007 11:56 PM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
[ QUOTE ]
guys if i flip 1 millions times, wouldn't I be closer to the expected result of 0EV? Isn't it the same as "low sample size" .

Obv after 1 flip your either -1 or +1, but everyone always says more sample = more accuaret result.

Thats all I was getting at.

[/ QUOTE ]

You american have serious leaks in your educational system.

**Takezo** 11-17-2007 11:57 PM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Let's say you flip a coin two times. Both times the outcome is "A". Now, if you flip the coin again the chance of outcome "B", is much higher, around 66%.

This is true, i asked Jennifer Tilly and she confirmed.

[/ QUOTE ]

You are joking right? It doesn't matter what the previous outcomes are, each time you flip a coin the chance of outcome "A" or "B" is 50/50 EVERY time.

[/ QUOTE ]

he mentions confirming it with jennifer tilly and you still get levelled? ouch.

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

tcorbin16 11-18-2007 03:05 PM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
nanoko took 23k off me flipping and then quit me.

JSchnett 11-18-2007 03:09 PM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
do you really play $2/4?

eMbAh 11-18-2007 03:23 PM

Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Let's say you flip a coin two times. Both times the outcome is "A". Now, if you flip the coin again the chance of outcome "B", is much higher, around 66%.

This is true, i asked Jennifer Tilly and she confirmed.

[/ QUOTE ]

You are joking right? It doesn't matter what the previous outcomes are, each time you flip a coin the chance of outcome "A" or "B" is 50/50 EVERY time.

[/ QUOTE ]

he mentions confirming it with jennifer tilly and you still get levelled? ouch.

[/ QUOTE ]

maybe he just leveled you, and maybe you knew that he was leveling you and you are leveling him


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