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lexxor 05-13-2007 01:21 PM

NL10 - OESD Equity Question
 
Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.05/$0.10 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $20.65
<u>BB: $9.80</u>
<font color="black">UTG: $8.90</font>
<font color="black">MP: $19.75</font>
<font color="black">Hero (CO): $17.90</font>
<u>BTN: $9.85</u>

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG calls $0.10, MP calls $0.10, Hero calls $0.10, <font color="red">BTN raises to $0.60</font>, SB folds, BB calls $0.50, UTG calls $0.50, MP calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($3.05) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (5 Players)
BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="red">MP bets $0.50</font>, Hero calls $0.50, <font color="red">BTN raises to $4.00</font>, <font color="red">BB raises all-in to $9.20</font>, Hero ???

Im getting here 2:1, right?
So lets say i put BTN on a hand like JJ+ and i give BB the closest range QQ,44-55.
It is:

Board: Qc 4s 5h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 26.578% 26.58% 00.00% 25920 0.00 { 7c6s }
Hand 1: 07.530% 07.53% 00.00% 7344 0.00 { KK+ }
Hand 2: 65.891% 65.89% 00.00% 64260 0.00 { QQ, 55-44 }

easy fold right?

When i wide the range of BB to QQ, 55-44, AQs, KQs, 54s, AQo, KQo, 54o

the equity is as followed:

Board: Qc 4s 5h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 32.131% 32.13% 00.00% 218479 0.00 { 7c6s }
Hand 1: 28.176% 28.18% 00.00% 191586 0.00 { JJ+ }
Hand 2: 39.693% 39.69% 00.00% 269894 0.00 { QQ, 55-44, AQs, KQs, 54s, AQo, KQo, 54o }

still an easy fold?

Show me errors i made with my calculation and tell me a better range for both players. thx

DannyOcean_ 05-13-2007 01:31 PM

Re: NL10 - OESD Equity Question
 
If you assume button is coming along, you'll have to call 8.7 to win a pot of roughly 30 bucks (29.5ish?). You are actually getting a little better than 2 to 1.

I think your range for BB is about right, maybe no KQ but then again we will see it every so often. I think your range for Button should be a little wider. All told, I think is narrowly a call.

lexxor 05-13-2007 02:29 PM

Re: NL10 - OESD Equity Question
 
i think i forgot to add my money to the pot so yea i think im getting better odds. my thoughts were if it is +EV it just can be slightly +EV. I wasnt sure about it, soo i thought its better to fold a slighty +EV then making a -EV call, hmm


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