Patriots Game
 

With patriots up 14-7 I put 35k up to win 1k on patriots winning straight up.

This is the most ridiculous thing I've ever seen and if the Patriots lose I'm going to be 100% convinced the NFL is rigged and probably suicide.

Was this a good bet?

Re: Patriots Game
 

lol are you retarded? also lol at that onside kick just now

Re: Patriots Game
 

i bet you loved that onside kick

please tell me this is true btw

i would advise going to the gym or something for a bit. don't watch, you will go insane

Re: Patriots Game
 

oh and i'm sure you will be fine

Re: Patriots Game
 

where'd you place this bet?

Re: Patriots Game
 

hedge your bet by wagering on drinking 2 bottles of jack

Re: Patriots Game
 

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where'd you place this bet?

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Friend that came to visit my apartment.

I think my EV in this bet is probably >900$.

Re: Patriots Game
 

You are retarded.
The line before the game was like 13-1. A 1 td lead does not make a team like 3x more likely to win the game. 1-like 18k or 1-20k ish would prob be fairish and even then the line is probably inflated because everone thinks the pats are unbeatable. So ya basically if the bet was made at 1-17.5k it would be like neutral ev

Re: Patriots Game
 

[ QUOTE ]
With patriots up 14-7 I put 35k up to win 1k on patriots winning straight up.

This is the most ridiculous thing I've ever seen and if the Patriots lose I'm going to be 100% convinced the NFL is rigged and probably suicide.

Was this a good bet?

[/ QUOTE ]

No.

It was 1-14 at betfair, so you wasted 21000

Re: Patriots Game
 

[ QUOTE ]
You are retarded.
The line before the game was like 13-1. A 1 td lead does not make a team like 3x more likely to win the game. 1-like 18k or 1-20k ish would prob be fairish and even then the line is probably inflated because everone thinks the pats are unbeatable. So ya basically if the bet was made at 1-17.5k it would be like neutral ev

[/ QUOTE ]

24-1 was available pregame fwiw. You guys need to shop better.

Re: Patriots Game
 

OP,

thank you for giving me a legit reason to root for one team over the other [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Re: Patriots Game
 

I don't care what the odds say you guys are all clowns.

The patriots lose this game at most 1% of the time.

Re: Patriots Game
 

[ QUOTE ]
OP,

thank you for giving me a legit reason to root for one team over the other [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]
phila right?

Re: Patriots Game
 

i have phi +20.5, over 50.5 to complete 6-bet parlay (50 to win ~2500) gogogogo

Re: Patriots Game
 

[ QUOTE ]
I don't care what the odds say you guys are all clowns.

The patriots lose this game at most 1% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'll bet up to $30k at 95-1

Re: Patriots Game
 

[ QUOTE ]
I don't care what the odds say you guys are all clowns.

The patriots lose this game at most 1% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]

if there's a god in heaven, tom brady and randy moss will tear both of their knees on the same play and tonight will be that 1%

EDIT: unfortunately, i'm atheist

Re: Patriots Game
 

[ QUOTE ]
I don't care what the odds say you guys are all clowns.

The patriots lose this game at most 1% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]

No matter what % of the time they win, there is no need to bet $35k to win $1k, when you could bet $35k to win $2500

Re: Patriots Game
 

sick bet. I would not have made it, but I think its close to neutral EV. They're about to score so you're fine.

Re: Patriots Game
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
OP,

thank you for giving me a legit reason to root for one team over the other [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]
phila right?

[/ QUOTE ]

of course!

Re: Patriots Game
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I don't care what the odds say you guys are all clowns.

The patriots lose this game at most 1% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]

No matter what % of the time they win, there is no need to bet $35k to win $1k, when you could bet $35k to win $2500

[/ QUOTE ]

I guarantee that those sites wouldn't let me bet 35k.

I also guarantee they wouldn't let me pay with pokerstars $ for live cash.

Re: Patriots Game
 

[ QUOTE ]
i have phi +20.5, over 50.5 to complete 6-bet parlay (50 to win ~2500) gogogogo

[/ QUOTE ]

you have the over on lock.

Re: Patriots Game
 

someone at my cake table bet 15K on the pats at -24.5

you > him, though

Re: Patriots Game
 

[ QUOTE ]
i have phi +20.5, over 50.5 to complete 6-bet parlay (50 to win ~2500) gogogogo

[/ QUOTE ]

this has to be the most correlated bet ever btw

Re: Patriots Game
 

[ QUOTE ]
someone at my cake table bet 15K on the pats at -24.5

you > him, though

[/ QUOTE ]

variance: i was at this same table and read this
brag: i played a tourney at a table with adanthar
beat: the one hand i played in front of him i decided to three barrell JTo on a draw heavy board into KK calling down

Re: Patriots Game
 

ummm eagles is winning

Re: Patriots Game
 

HAHA you are screwed

Re: Patriots Game
 

21-17 GOOO EAGLES CRUSH STEALTHMUNKS 35k!

Re: Patriots Game
 

your going to lose this bet

Re: Patriots Game
 

[ QUOTE ]
I don't care what the odds say you guys are all clowns.

The patriots lose this game at most 1% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]



please to be offering a bet to me at 98:1?

Re: Patriots Game
 

go eagles lol

Re: Patriots Game
 

ruh roh!!!!!!!

Re: Patriots Game
 

Where the hell is Maroney? I have him on my fantasy team...beat. I also have Moss/Brady/Stallworth..so go go go Pats!

Re: Patriots Game
 

It's a lock baby, lock it up. Lock of the week!

Re: Patriots Game
 

antisweat

Re: Patriots Game
 

Someone get out the bottle of Jack Daniels <font color="white">and those pics...</font>

Re: Patriots Game
 

I thought BBV was supposed to praise degeneracy of the highest level?

gl stealth

Re: Patriots Game
 

Ah, you'll be fine.

Re: Patriots Game
 

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i have phi +20.5, over 50.5 to complete 6-bet parlay (50 to win ~2500) gogogogo

[/ QUOTE ]

how do you tease +25 to +20.5

Re: Patriots Game
 

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I thought BBV was supposed to praise degeneracy of the highest level?

gl stealth

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Yes, but "beat: -35k" &gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&g t;&gt;&gt;&gt; "brag: +1k"

Re: Patriots Game
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
i have phi +20.5, over 50.5 to complete 6-bet parlay (50 to win ~2500) gogogogo

[/ QUOTE ]

how do you tease +25 to +20.5

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it's through a local book, and it opened at 20.5 .. if it were teased, it would have gone the other way .. sucks because i have to turn in my picks by wednesday for the weekend -- online i'd be getting a much better line