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-   -   NL100 | Finding The Edges Of Baluga (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=415162)

Grunch 05-29-2007 11:08 PM

NL100 | Finding The Edges Of Baluga
 
Opponent is 23/15/2.70 over 2.5k hands, seems lag-taggy like a 2p2er. I've never seen him 3b preflop. He took a long time to check the flop, then he insta-called.

I have been very active, and my flop bet size is meant to look like a CB. I'm expecting to be raised about 75% of the time here.

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

<u>SB: $132.75</u>
BB: $116.20
UTG: $108.50
MP: $110.15
CO: $100.25
<u>Hero (BTN): $120.95</u>

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (6 Players)
3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $4.00</font>, SB calls $3.50, BB folds

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($9) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $6.00</font>, SB calls $6.00

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($21) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $14.50</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to $42.00</font>, Hero calls $27.50

<font color="black">River:</font> ($105) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)


If SB checks?
If SB bets?

cbloom 05-29-2007 11:22 PM

Re: NL100 | Finding The Edges Of Baluga
 
I think he has KQ or AK a lot so you have to fold to a big bet on that river. If he checks I probably just check it down.

Jay Riall 05-30-2007 12:00 AM

Re: NL100 | Finding The Edges Of Baluga
 
Call the turn and probably fold to a river bet. I definitely wouldn't bet this river if he checked and would probably check a blank river also, though that may be missing a little value. He may be raising this turn with hands like 75hh, QJhh, 86 aswell as the obvious KQ and sets. I don't think hes firing big with anything you beat on the river so looks a safe fold.

blah-blah-blah 05-30-2007 12:33 AM

Re: NL100 | Finding The Edges Of Baluga
 
on the river, check behind and fold to a bet. 75hh doesn't make much sense cuz there's no reason to wait for the turn to raise. Qxhh or JThh make more sense since the turn improves him. obv KQ makes a ton of sense too so I don't think folding the turn is bad but I probably call since we're in position. I think if the river was a blank and I was checked to I bet.

Tickner 05-30-2007 02:10 AM

Re: NL100 | Finding The Edges Of Baluga
 
this is an interesting hand. If Im planning to fold the river I think I just fold the turn. Rarely will he c/c flop c/r turn and check river. Hes almost certainly pushing most any river.

Grunch 05-30-2007 08:03 AM

Re: NL100 | Finding The Edges Of Baluga
 
Tickner, you dont think the river changed things?

Dark_Mace 05-30-2007 08:37 AM

Re: NL100 | Finding The Edges Of Baluga
 
just out of curiosity, is j10 of hearts or even any 2 hearts?

He 3 bets turn with flush / straight draw?

Wouldn't he be 3 betting the flop with KQ? Or even KJ?

Dunno just putting it out there.

pdoran10 05-30-2007 08:37 AM

Re: NL100 | Finding The Edges Of Baluga
 
if im calling this turn, i would be looking to get all in on the river.

i would most likely fold the turn tho, as this is pretty much a bluff/semibluff or a hand we cant beat, as i dont see any worse 2 pair hands in his range that would make this play for value. given reads and no history of villain being out of line and only having a 2.7 AF i think we can find a fold on the turn.

then again, if ur read is that villain is retarted enough to do this with 1 pair or a draw. then by all means i would shove over his raise on the turn. basically, if villain has a brain, and doesnt play back at u, this is a fold.

fees 05-30-2007 10:32 AM

Re: NL100 | Finding The Edges Of Baluga
 
fold turn this seems like KQ at worst

ADK 05-30-2007 10:53 AM

Re: NL100 | Finding The Edges Of Baluga
 
i'll check behind or fold to a big bet


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