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-   -   Stats review, If it's not broken don't fix it? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=519289)

sparky3474 10-09-2007 05:11 PM

Stats review, If it\'s not broken don\'t fix it?
 
You get lucky enough to see you son's online stats, he is a winning player, over a long time and you as a 2+2er would like to help, but as I said it is my son who thinks he really understands limit poker and by his results in the Borgota and online it is hard to argue. He insists that you will get run over in this game if you are not aggresive, so what do you say here, be more selective on you starting hands, PFR less, slow down on the blind steals, don't protect the blinds so vigorously and bet the flop, turn and river more? or do you target some areas first? With his style I have seen him take control over many a table and be a real nightmare for anyone at the table. Below, his stats in red, recommended from a CallMeIshmael post, SB is outright winner, this is about 12,000 hands.

3/6:
VPIP
A one-half standard deviation range about the mean: 16.18-19.09 <font color="red">38</font>

VPIP in SB:
A one-half standard deviation range about the mean: 21.55-26.72 <font color="red">47</font>

Folded SB to steal:
A one-half standard deviation range about the mean: 81.61-86.62 <font color="red">66</font>

Folded BB to steal:
A one-half standard deviation range about the mean: 56.46-69.38 <font color="red">40 </font>

Attempted to steal blinds:
A one-half standard deviation range about the mean: 24.19-30.48 <font color="red">58 </font>

Won $ WSF:
A one-half standard deviation range about the mean: 35.64-38.36 <font color="red"> 44.8 </font>

Went to SD %:
A one-half standard deviation range about the mean: 32.74-36.25 <font color="red">42 </font>

Won $ at SD %:
A one-half standard deviation range about the mean: 52.01-55.48 <font color="red">47 </font>

Preflop Raise %:
A one-half standard deviation range about the mean: 8.77-10.50 <font color="red">24 </font>

Flop aggression factor:
A one-half standard deviation range about the mean: 2.61-3.16 <font color="red">1.6 </font>

Turn aggression factor:
A one-half standard deviation range about the mean: 2.62-3.16 <font color="red">1.4</font>

River aggression factor:
A one-half standard deviation range about the mean: 1.80-2.07 <font color="red"> 1.1 </font>

Folded to river bet %:
A one-half standard deviation range about the mean: 36.69-44.19 <font color="red">24.5</font>

VPIP from BB:
A one-half standard deviation range about the mean: 16.21-20.40 <font color="red">45 </font>

Loss from BB:
A one-half standard deviation range about the mean: 0.16-0.22 <font color="red">.19</font>

Loss from SB:
A one-half standard deviation range about the mean: 0.05-0.07 <font color="green">+.08 </font>

BubbleMint 10-09-2007 07:58 PM

Re: Stats review, If it\'s not broken don\'t fix it?
 
These are full ring stats or 6 max stats ?

sparky3474 10-09-2007 08:38 PM

Re: Stats review, If it\'s not broken don\'t fix it?
 
full ring, +3.3 BB/100

Bluffoon 10-10-2007 02:31 PM

Re: Stats review, If it\'s not broken don\'t fix it?
 
Hes running hot - 12k hands is nothing. Post similiar results after 100k hands and I will acknowledge he may be on to something.

Bob T. 10-10-2007 04:06 PM

Re: Stats review, If it\'s not broken don\'t fix it?
 
He is running good. Maybe selecting the right games.

If he really is 3.3/100, over the last 12,000 hands, even if his game is flawed, he isn't going to be receptive to changes right now.

bakku 10-11-2007 07:10 AM

Re: Stats review, If it\'s not broken don\'t fix it?
 
he's running super super hot. 44% won $wsf with a 38% vpip is ridiculously high

sparky3474 10-11-2007 05:29 PM

Re: Stats review, If it\'s not broken don\'t fix it?
 
He learned in the B&amp;M world playing against lots of fish, he had a hard time adapting online but seems okay now. He loved the old Party Poker before the ban. Looking at his pairs winning 68% and suited connectors 49% floors me. I am just not sure what happens if he backs down on his vpip and pfr. He is playing on WPEX now and does not get to game select at all as their are so few games but he may never go back to paying rake.


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