Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

For the record, anyone who suspects someone like me or traz because we've been wolves lately, is acting very stupidly.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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Durron and neil are probably wolves.

[/ QUOTE ]Grouping me with Durron makes me think Durron's a villager, too.



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[img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

Is Neil trying to get lynched?

I'm starting to reconsider because how could a wolf post like this? heh

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

also, so many people only remember as far as the last game. It's pretty funny

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

Guys, go read ASXI days 2 and on. I was a villager in that game, and some rock-solid villagers were dead-sure I was a wolf there, too.

Move on elsewhere. I'm unreadable early it seems.

I'm also often dead wrong in my reads, too, just look back at ANY game of mine to see that. I know traz has that megagame thing where right == village and wrong == wolf, but applying that to someone like me, with a track record of being totally wrong often, is silly.

Now go lynch Luckay please. And I apologize for the post count. Habits are hard to break.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

I'm apparently one of the only people Traz can't read.. he never clears me as a villager, and is wrong on me again.

I think I was probably wrong on Neil with his posting now... going to reread while playing these tournies and see what I can come up with.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Durron and neil are probably wolves.

[/ QUOTE ]Grouping me with Durron makes me think Durron's a villager, too.



[/ QUOTE ]

[img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

fo realz

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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Iron, why do you think that the saboteur didn't get a n0 trap set option? I didn't see this when I quickly read through the rules.

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DMK quoted it below. I thought I was going crazy for a while.

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Ahh, Thanks DMK and Iron... I read that passage several times and missed this inference each time.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

Grr.. sorry again but this idea just came into my head:

Durron, why aren't you continuing with the same concilatory, persuasive tone from TTT that you carried over into the turbo where we were wolves together?

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

[ QUOTE ]
Grr.. sorry again but this idea just came into my head:

Durron, why aren't you continuing with the same concilatory, persuasive tone from TTT that you carried over into the turbo where we were wolves together?

[/ QUOTE ]

because traz is pissing me off

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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Luckay, durron, fmxda, chim, bluff, fnord, IY, voj

Werewolf? THERE wolf.

[/ QUOTE ]

Where'd I go?

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

In econometrics, people often refer to Type I and Type II errors. A type I error occurs when you reject a null statement as false when it is true. A type II error occurs when you accept a null statement as possibly true when it is false.

The goal of modeling there is to reduce the total number of errors made, but a Type I error is far, far more serious than a Type II error. Thus steps are made whenever possible to avoid Type I errors, even at the cost of possibly committing a Type II error.

The null statement for the game of werewolf is: <u>X is a wolf.</u>

It is FAR, FAR more serious to clear a wolf (a Type I error) than to call a villager a wolf (a Type II error).

Villagers should take ANY STEPS POSSIBLE to ensure that they are not clearing wolves.

Thus, Luckay, shut up forever and always.

[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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Luckay, durron, fmxda, chim, bluff, fnord, IY, voj

Werewolf? THERE wolf.

[/ QUOTE ]

Where'd I go?

[/ QUOTE ]Good question. You replace fnord on the list. Or you would, except that that's a pretty bold thing to ask if you ARE a wolf.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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[ QUOTE ]
Grr.. sorry again but this idea just came into my head:

Durron, why aren't you continuing with the same concilatory, persuasive tone from TTT that you carried over into the turbo where we were wolves together?

[/ QUOTE ]

because traz is pissing me off

[/ QUOTE ]

and i also suck at this game. but i'm not a wolf [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

do you still claim i am one?

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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I'm apparently one of the only people Traz can't read.. he never clears me as a villager, and is wrong on me again.

I think I was probably wrong on Neil with his posting now... going to reread while playing these tournies and see what I can come up with.

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Chim is likely village.

As is MDoranD, and probably Fnord.

FMXDA is meh-wolfy from his posts today I think.

Neil I'm really undecided on.

Other than that, not much going on.... I voted 8.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Luckay, durron, fmxda, chim, bluff, fnord, IY, voj

Werewolf? THERE wolf.

[/ QUOTE ]

Where'd I go?

[/ QUOTE ]Good question. You replace fnord on the list. Or you would, except that that's a pretty bold thing to ask if you ARE a wolf.

[/ QUOTE ]

can we just all vote neil now please

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

With this in mind about type errors, I am confident believing Durron is a villager.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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do you still claim i am one?

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No. I think you're playing a duplicate of TTT day 1 or 2 here, with me playing the role of (villager) GT1T.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

I'm not even being belligerent or anything, I'm just saying that neil is not a wolf, his wolf list is good, and chim/fnord/bluff are all pretty wolfie right now

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

Shorty I fail to see how type 1 or 2 errors and their severity in economics applies to werewolf. Why is it so bad to call a wolf a villager?

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

traz, please go find me a game where bluff and chim are not wolfy every day

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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i wonder, Luckay... who's a villlager today?

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I just started reading. This made me laugh.
econo while I catch up

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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With this in mind about type errors, I am confident believing Durron is a villager.

[/ QUOTE ]

go jump in a lake

p.s. all my suggestions so far have been caveated that i am often wrong and i may change the read later

that doesn't mean that neil's list isn't, in general, awful

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

traz,

please explain to me what you see wolfy in fnord

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

I'm leaning towards Traz right now for the same reason I leaned towards Bluff in most recent Mish-Mash.

He is definitely leaning on the easy targets here.

I also question FMXDA.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

why should i jump in a lake? which lake? i'm not familiar with this road to Eleria.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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[ QUOTE ]
Grr.. sorry again but this idea just came into my head:

Durron, why aren't you continuing with the same concilatory, persuasive tone from TTT that you carried over into the turbo where we were wolves together?

[/ QUOTE ]

because traz is pissing me off

[/ QUOTE ]

How? What did he post to piss you off? The Chim stuff?

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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Shorty I fail to see how type 1 or 2 errors and their severity in economics applies to werewolf. Why is it so bad to call a wolf a villager?

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in case i didn't say it before, boiler is a villager

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Grr.. sorry again but this idea just came into my head:

Durron, why aren't you continuing with the same concilatory, persuasive tone from TTT that you carried over into the turbo where we were wolves together?

[/ QUOTE ]

because traz is pissing me off

[/ QUOTE ]

and i also suck at this game. but i'm not a wolf [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

do you still claim i am one?

[/ QUOTE ]

this post seems very different from your usual stuff.

you're also agreeing with me.

both things that make you more wolfy.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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I'm leaning towards Traz right now for the same reason I leaned towards Bluff in most recent Mish-Mash.

He is definitely leaning on the easy targets here.

I also question FMXDA.

[/ QUOTE ]

chim17

you got one right, traz

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

fnords tone is super different when he's a wolf. It's like night and day. Thus far, he's using the wolf tone.

Bluff also has a very specific wolf way of talking, but it's really subtle. I don't accuse him of being a wolf every game, far from it.

Chim admittedly is always wolfie lol, but that doesn't really mean he's not a wolf.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Grr.. sorry again but this idea just came into my head:

Durron, why aren't you continuing with the same concilatory, persuasive tone from TTT that you carried over into the turbo where we were wolves together?

[/ QUOTE ]

because traz is pissing me off

[/ QUOTE ]

How? What did he post to piss you off? The Chim stuff?

[/ QUOTE ]

the fact that he likes neil's list, mostly

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

Also...I'M the one choosing easy targets?

You guys are picking neil and fmxda. Talk about hypocrisy

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

Durron

Ya, I went there.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

[ QUOTE ]
fnords tone is super different when he's a wolf. It's like night and day. Thus far, he's using the wolf tone.

Bluff also has a very specific wolf way of talking, but it's really subtle. I don't accuse him of being a wolf every game, far from it.

Chim admittedly is always wolfie lol, but that doesn't really mean he's not a wolf.

[/ QUOTE ]

traz &amp; chim are both wolves, ship it

fnord might be a wolf but i'm not sure

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
fnords tone is super different when he's a wolf. It's like night and day. Thus far, he's using the wolf tone.

Bluff also has a very specific wolf way of talking, but it's really subtle. I don't accuse him of being a wolf every game, far from it.

Chim admittedly is always wolfie lol, but that doesn't really mean he's not a wolf.

[/ QUOTE ]

traz &amp; chim are both wolves, ship it

fnord might be a wolf but i'm not sure

[/ QUOTE ]

i mean just from this one post, fnord's own posts i think are villagery

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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Also...I'M the one choosing easy targets?

You guys are picking neil and fmxda. Talk about hypocrisy

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Didn't I just say I was probably wrong on Neil and then accused you?

You are hardly an easy target.

Traz

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

Shortline, I would consider the null hypothesis for werewolf to be X is a villager.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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Also...I'M the one choosing easy targets?

You guys are picking neil and fmxda. Talk about hypocrisy

[/ QUOTE ]

Didn't I just say I was probably wrong on Neil and then accused you?

You are hardly an easy target.

Traz

[/ QUOTE ]

traz, chim, definitely. both wolves.