Flopping set
 

I have a question about the chance that you will flop a set.
The chance is 1 in 8 times avg. 13%.
But when I look at my pokertracker stats, I notice that the higher my pair is, the more profit I make with it. I know this probably has also to do with overpair value, but I was wondering;
Do middle pair holdings flop a set more regulary because people often fold low cards, and play their high cards.

So I figure high pairs hit sets less frequently cause of the higher chance people holding the same picture. And a low pair hits also less because most people fold those.
So middle pair hits more?

Does this make sense? Thx

Re: Flopping set
 

What rubbish. There is equal chance that your opponents pick up low cards /middle cards or high cards. And it doesn´t matter at all whether they play them or throw them in the muck.

Higher pairs simply make more money because there is less chance that somebody pairs an overcard.

Re: Flopping set
 

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Higher pairs simply make more money because there is less chance that somebody pairs an overcard.

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Re: Flopping set
 

Gabethebabe - excellent - 4th post and already calling another post rubbish!! Welcome to the arrogant club!

Re: Flopping set
 

Sinnerman: Interesting thought at first glance, but you've got to remember that whether or not the other players have held onto their cards or mucked them, they are gone and unavailable to hit on your draw in either case - so low or mid pairs are not more likely to make a set. They can make you more money on occasion as when they do hit, as the card making your set is less often seen as a scare card on the flop or later streets...and a well disguised set is a beautiful thing :-)

Re: Flopping set
 

I find its easier to get more money into the pot when I'm holding a low set simply because somebody could have an overpair and think they're ahead.

Obviouly you have to be cautious and be reliant on some read and knowledge of your opponents play but I wouldn't be completely surprised if lower sets yielded more profit per hands won than higher sets.

But then higher sets would win more often...

Re: Flopping set
 

I don't know about you guys but there are many players who peel off "one" more card. -EVVVVVVVV I always pay them off tho [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

Re: Flopping set
 

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Gabethebabe - excellent - 4th post and already calling another post rubbish!! Welcome to the arrogant club!

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Re: Flopping set
 

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Gabethebabe - excellent - 4th post and already calling another post rubbish!! Welcome to the arrogant club!

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Awesome! Can I run for president of this club?

Re: Flopping set
 

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Gabethebabe - excellent - 4th post and already calling another post rubbish!! Welcome to the arrogant club!

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Awesome! Can I run for president of this club?

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It's you club do what ever you want.