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-   -   Non-random coin flips? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=377329)

doc43 04-12-2007 11:58 PM

Non-random coin flips?
 
Is there any scenario where the results of a coin flip (or a series of coin flips) can be considered to be non-random?

Big_Ham 04-13-2007 02:01 PM

Re: Non-random coin flips?
 
No. Absolutely not when you are talking about a SINGLE event. Even if the coin said heads 5 times in a row, the chances of it being heads on the next throw are still 50-50.

PantsOnFire 04-13-2007 04:19 PM

Re: Non-random coin flips?
 
I honestly don't understand your question.

PokrLikeItsProse 04-13-2007 05:09 PM

Re: Non-random coin flips?
 
When the coin is unfair.

obss 04-13-2007 05:39 PM

Re: Non-random coin flips?
 
No coinflip is random, given its 2 slices weight differently.
Otherwise, sklanskying does look sometimes so pathetic.

doc43 04-13-2007 06:56 PM

Re: Non-random coin flips?
 
Is it a truly random event if the same person flips each time with the head side (or tail side) of the coin always oriented up on top of the thumb? How about if a machine flipped the coin in an identical manner each time? I get that theoretically, it is a random event. But, in reality, is it really?

Gullanian 04-13-2007 07:03 PM

Re: Non-random coin flips?
 
If you beleive in a determenistic world then yes, it is not truly random. However, the quantum world tells us differently, and the quantum world almost definatly exists.

psy 04-16-2007 01:15 AM

Re: Non-random coin flips?
 
Sunday nights my local drinking hole has a "toss the boss" promotion. Every time you order a round of drinks the bar staff flips a coin and if you guess correctly your drinks are on the house.

Now, some pretty girls can't flip a coin same as they can't throw a ball - so they chuck the coin in the air and it doesn't rotate much. I'm pretty sure I've got a 75% success rate with this one girls coin flips, although I've not ordered 10,000 beers so it may be due to variance and not sustainable in the long run.

But nevertheless, if a coin isn't flipped properly you have a scenario where the result won't be 50/50.

Big_Ham 04-16-2007 08:59 AM

Re: Non-random coin flips?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Sunday nights my local drinking hole has a "toss the boss" promotion. Every time you order a round of drinks the bar staff flips a coin and if you guess correctly your drinks are on the house.

Now, some pretty girls can't flip a coin same as they can't throw a ball - so they chuck the coin in the air and it doesn't rotate much. I'm pretty sure I've got a 75% success rate with this one girls coin flips, although I've not ordered 10,000 beers so it may be due to variance and not sustainable in the long run.

But nevertheless, if a coin isn't flipped properly you have a scenario where the result won't be 50/50.

[/ QUOTE ]

Unless they are consciously trying to make one side or the other land by tossing the coin flat, then there is no way this isn't a 50/50.

Jaycee07 04-16-2007 11:28 AM

Re: Non-random coin flips?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Sunday nights my local drinking hole has a "toss the boss" promotion. Every time you order a round of drinks the bar staff flips a coin and if you guess correctly your drinks are on the house.

Now, some pretty girls can't flip a coin same as they can't throw a ball - so they chuck the coin in the air and it doesn't rotate much. I'm pretty sure I've got a 75% success rate with this one girls coin flips, although I've not ordered 10,000 beers so it may be due to variance and not sustainable in the long run.

But nevertheless, if a coin isn't flipped properly you have a scenario where the result won't be 50/50.

[/ QUOTE ]

Unless they are consciously trying to make one side or the other land by tossing the coin flat, then there is no way this isn't a 50/50.

[/ QUOTE ]

Huh? Whether or not they mean to do it is irrelevant. The point is that their technique is flawed and thus the coin flipping occurs the same. Ie, it often only flips once or twice etc so it is not always 50/50


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