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-   -   ftp $163 (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=537927)

gibler321 11-04-2007 12:11 AM

ftp $163
 
we are already ITM in this. i have a top 5 stack. villian has been somewhat active, but not enough to raise any flags.
i had been playing fairly tight, about 15/11. villian was about 22/15. what do i do here?

Full Tilt Poker Game #4061238723: $55,000 Guarantee (30723888), Table 10 - 600/1200 Ante 150 - No Limit Hold'em - 23:54:13 ET - 2007/11/03
Seat 1: teamfranklin2k5 (54,201)
Seat 2: canplaypoker (129,538)
Seat 3: orangeman88 (47,719)
Seat 5: bigll (84,878)
Seat 6: karam00 (62,501)
Seat 7: DBmeplz (74,207)
Seat 8: PlzKissMe (43,935)
teamfranklin2k5 antes 150
canplaypoker antes 150
orangeman88 antes 150
bigll antes 150
karam00 antes 150
DBmeplz antes 150
PlzKissMe antes 150
bigll posts the small blind of 600
karam00 posts the big blind of 1,200
The button is in seat #3
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to DBmeplz [Qs Jh]
bigll: nh
canplaypoker: ty
DBmeplz has 15 seconds left to act
DBmeplz raises to 3,150
PlzKissMe folds
teamfranklin2k5 folds
canplaypoker calls 3,150
orangeman88 folds
bigll folds
karam00 calls 1,950
*** FLOP *** [Th 9s 2d]
karam00 checks
DBmeplz has 15 seconds left to act
DBmeplz bets 7,500
canplaypoker calls 7,500
karam00 has 15 seconds left to act
karam00 raises to 19,200
DBmeplz has 15 seconds left to act
DBmeplz has requested TIME
DBmeplz ?????

zizazziza 11-04-2007 12:37 AM

Re: ftp $163
 
Lets look @ the pot-size first:
~10k pf + 34 200 = 44 200, you need 11.7k, so you are getting 4:1 straight odds (which is enough to call this street). There are also another 40k in implied odds. It appears that he has at least 2pr here (but could be bluff). Also, if you call, canplay may overcall as well giving you even better odds.

If you call and he doesnt. I'm jamming Q/J turn and c/r ai K/8.
If canplay calls, then its c/f unless K/Q/J/8. I am still probably c/f Q/J if this guy is firing agains into 2 ppl


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