NL 100 - Laying down overpair QQ on the turn
 

Villain is 26/5/0.5 and is generally an over-passive nit after the flop. My plan was to make a turn bet was for value and I'm pounding all blank rivers. Is this OK, or will villain have AJ often enough for me to make a crying call on the turn?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($113.80)
UTG ($204.90)
MP ($101)
CO ($83.20)
Button ($20.80)
SB ($112.10)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to $3</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $9</font>, CO calls $6.

Flop: ($18.50) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $14</font>, CO calls $14.

Turn: ($46.50) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $24</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to $60.2</font>, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $94.50

Re: NL 100 - Laying down overpair QQ on the turn
 

Odds say you have to win ~20% of the time to make it +EV. This is a call.

As for making a crying call, what changed on the turn? It is possible that he trapped you or outflopped you, but at this point you are already committed.

Re: NL 100 - Laying down overpair QQ on the turn
 

Given how passive he is postflop I think this is a fold. Calling when you are more than likely behind is a sure way to lose money.

Re: NL 100 - Laying down overpair QQ on the turn
 

IF stats are from a significant sample I would probably have to lay it down.