600NL - river valuebet vs big fish -- too thin?
 

villain is 56/12/3 over 400 hands.. He's obviously pretty ridiculous, and I expect him to put in more action earlier if he has a better hand. I assume he's bad enough to pay off with worse 9's, and it seems unlikely he has a better hand, right?

No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $3/$6
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $613.00
CO: $661.00
Hero: $582.00
SB: $2.329.75
BB: $1.382.90

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is Button with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $24</font>, SB folds, BB calls.

Flop: 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($51, 2 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $40</font>, BB calls.

Turn: 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($131, 2 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $102</font>, BB calls.

River: 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($335, 2 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $148</font>

Re: 600NL - river valuebet vs big fish -- too thin?
 

make it a cool two hundo.

Re: 600NL - river valuebet vs big fish -- too thin?
 

Yeah $200 looks good. Maybe pot the river if he is the kind of fish who always interprets big bets as bluffs and will call with a draw that hit a pair or some crap.

Re: 600NL - river valuebet vs big fish -- too thin?
 

i like around 250 or so. He'll find a call somehow.

Re: 600NL - river valuebet vs big fish -- too thin?
 

I'd be a little concerned at someone whose AF is 3 suddenly being so passive. I'd think you'd be beaten here (set or a crazy pair) more often then you'll be called.

The way he's been playing, you should get better shots at his stack then this.

Re: 600NL - river valuebet vs big fish -- too thin?
 

i can see $100, $200 or $265 all as possibilities. not really sure what to make of $150


edit: actually i dont like 100 too much after looking back. $200-265 feels right

Re: 600NL - river valuebet vs big fish -- too thin?
 

definitely not too thin

Re: 600NL - river valuebet vs big fish -- too thin?
 

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definitely not too thin

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bet more though, he'll justify a call somehow

Re: 600NL - river valuebet vs big fish -- too thin?
 

This is not thin, this is standard......not betting here vs this guy is criminal. I also like betting a bit more, like $199.

Re: 600NL - river valuebet vs big fish -- too thin?
 

[ QUOTE ]
This is not thin, this is standard......not betting here vs this guy is criminal. I also like betting a bit more, like $199.

[/ QUOTE ]