($109) EPT sat. Lots of draws
 

Villain is 30/16 over 33 hands. Should I CR push the turn? Lead big and call a shove on turn? Surely I can't fold anywhere. Notice he overbet pot on flop, whatever that means.

PokerStars Tournament, Big Blind is t30 (9 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

UTG (t1225)
UTG+1 (t1370)
MP1 (t1345)
MP2 (t1375)
MP3 (t1415)
CO (t2045)
Button (t1540)
Hero (t1345)
BB (t4675)

Preflop: Hero is in SB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
<font color="gray">UTG folds</font>, <font color="gray">UTG+1 folds</font>, <font color="gray">MP1 folds</font>, <font color="gray">MP2 folds</font>, MP3 calls t30, <font color="gray">CO folds</font>, <font color="gray">Button folds</font>, Hero calls t15, BB checks

Flop: (t90) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BB bets t120</font>, <font color="gray">MP3 folds</font>, Hero calls t120

Turn: (t330) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BB bets t240</font>, Hero calls t240

River: (t810) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets 350, intending to call a shove.

Re: ($109) EPT sat. Lots of draws
 

[ QUOTE ]
Notice he overbet pot on flop, whatever that means.



[/ QUOTE ]

Have you no idea? He's played a lot of hands.

I'd shove the river, if it means one thing, and I'd check-shove the turn if it means the other. I hate leading the river small in general because I think he'll generally call the whole lot with any holding given his stack and yours.

Re: ($109) EPT sat. Lots of draws
 

Maybe you're right but can't he have a lot of 2 pr type hands here that have trouble calling a river push?

Ryan

Re: ($109) EPT sat. Lots of draws
 

It looks very bluffy and he has a lot of chips and he's loose in general. I think it's more profitable (ie: he calls let's say 2x less if you bet 3x more) than betting small - and I think he just calls whatever bet with worse hands because a small lead looks like valuetown and the board is scary. I think he'll rarely shove with a set or two pair.

Re: ($109) EPT sat. Lots of draws
 

Yea, I'd push the river too. He's going to call the 950ish with like half the hands at least he's calling the 350 with in this spot.