Paperchamp\'s NFL Week 13
 

Finally a play after an empty week 12. There would have been one on Monday if I was near a computer.

Green Bay Packers @ Dallas Cowboys U51.5 (-110)
Risking 2.2u to 2u

YTD
18-17-1
-.05u

Re: Paperchamp\'s NFL Week 13
 

Playing a total that has moved 7 points against me seems like a terrible idea but I still feel there is some value left in this line. I wanted to wait until later in the week to find out just how bad the field will be Sunday. It's looking to be real bad again.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers U41 (-110)
Risking 2.2u to win 2u

Re: Paperchamp\'s NFL Week 13
 

Adding...
Cincinnati Bengals +4.5 @ Pittsburgh Steelers 1H (-110)
Risking 2.2u to win 2u

Re: Paperchamp\'s NFL Week 13
 

Does the field really look that bad again? I guess I should bench Big Ben in fantasy football then.

Re: Paperchamp\'s NFL Week 13
 

Are the two individual bets really better than the parlay here?

Re: Paperchamp\'s NFL Week 13
 

[ QUOTE ]
Does the field really look that bad again? I guess I should bench Big Ben in fantasy football then.

[/ QUOTE ]

My bad. My 2 QBs are Romo & Ben & I actually benched Romo because I thought Woodson & KGB would play & Cinci gives up a ton of points.

Playoff spot already clinched anyway.

Re: Paperchamp\'s NFL Week 13
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Does the field really look that bad again? I guess I should bench Big Ben in fantasy football then.

[/ QUOTE ]

My bad. My 2 QBs are Romo & Ben & I actually benched Romo because I thought Woodson & KGB would play & Cinci gives up a ton of points.

Playoff spot already clinched anyway.

[/ QUOTE ]

lol @ benching romo

Re: Paperchamp\'s NFL Week 13
 

I think an under/dog parlay works pretty nicely in this spot. However, I find that the two bets have value by themselves as well. I'll probably wait and see if I can cross the 7 before I grab anything besides what I already have. Only thing that scares me about that is that the total could drop some more by tomorrow.

Re: Paperchamp\'s NFL Week 13
 

[ QUOTE ]
Does the field really look that bad again? I guess I should bench Big Ben in fantasy football then.

[/ QUOTE ]

A few articles I read today said that conditions could be as bad or worse if it rains a lot tomorrow. There is an 80% chance of rain.

Re: Paperchamp\'s NFL Week 13
 

FWIW I've only taken the unders because I think having played on this pudding before will be a huge advantage.

Main bet for me is Miami, sadly I have nothing more than "They'll be really pumped up to not go 0-16", but motivation based picks have always served me pretty well.

Re: Paperchamp\'s NFL Week 13
 

http://www.weather.com/weather/hourb...amp;begDay=336

It's almost a surefire thing that it will rain during the game. Pretty windy too. Getting u48 here would have been sexy.

Re: Paperchamp\'s NFL Week 13
 

I don't know what I was thinking but I have a unit down on the over. What's my best play at this point? Hedge? Some sort of parlay with the under? Ride it out?

Re: Paperchamp\'s NFL Week 13
 

Here is some info everyone might wanna check out.

http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/07335...?cmpid=HBETEXT

Re: Paperchamp\'s NFL Week 13
 

Yeah, people are overreacting a bit to the conditions, and it's not going to be in as bad shape as it was last week. I'm still waiting and hoping the total continues to drop, and then I'll grab the over at some point tomorrow.