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-   -   Guessing Week 4 Lines (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=507760)

Jazzy3113 09-23-2007 07:57 PM

Guessing Week 4 Lines
 
Week 4 NFL Lines.

Here are the lines I would set, and then I make all my early week picks based on this if there are any large discrepancies. Late week picks I make on Friday night. And then bet teasers on Sunday morning for the most cash. All the games look really tough so I might look like a fool. Lines refer to home team:

Hou @ Atl +3
GB @ Minn +2.5
Oak @ Mia -3
Chi @ Det +2
St. L @ Dall -7
Balt @ Cle +3.5
Jets @ Buff +3.5
Sea @ SF +3
TB @ Car -2
KC @ SD -5
Den @ Indy -8
Pitt @ Ari +5
Phila @ NY -3
NE @ Cincy +4.5

siccjay 09-23-2007 07:59 PM

Re: Guessing Week 4 Lines
 
Are these serious?

Hans Gruber 09-23-2007 08:14 PM

Re: Guessing Week 4 Lines
 
NE @ Cincy will be probably around +7 or +8 for Cincy I would think. And if it is, I'm all over the Pats on that one. How is NE not going to dismantle that pathetic Cincy D?

Mediocre_Player 09-23-2007 08:21 PM

Re: Guessing Week 4 Lines
 
that San Fran line has to be mixed up, you meant -3 right?

MacGuyV 09-23-2007 08:25 PM

Re: Guessing Week 4 Lines
 
[ QUOTE ]
NE @ Cincy will be probably around +7 or +8 for Cincy I would think. And if it is, I'm all over the Pats on that one. How is NE not going to dismantle that pathetic Cincy D?

[/ QUOTE ]

[img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] No way they're -7-8 on the road on MNF.

I Gotta Push 09-23-2007 08:26 PM

Re: Guessing Week 4 Lines
 
I'm just getting into this but here are my predicted lines.

Hou -3.5 @ Atl
GB -3.5 @ Minnesota
Oakland +3 @ Miami
Chicago E @ Detroit
St. Louis +5.5 @ Dallas
Baltimore -3.5 @ Cleveland
Jets -4.5 @ Buffalo
Tampa Bay +3 @ Carolina
KC +8 @ San Diego
Denver +12 @ Indy
Pittsburg -6 @ Arizona
Philadelphia +3 @ NYG
New England -5 @ Cincy

Not very dissimilar to yours, except for my bloated Indy, SD lines. If those games open closer to your lines I'd like both favorites heavily. Also like Arizona if KW is starting all the way down to +3.5. Jets @ Buffalo look good for NY up to -5 as well as Dallas over St. Louis giving as much as 7. Fun Stuff

Jazzy3113 09-23-2007 08:26 PM

Re: Guessing Week 4 Lines
 
thats what i thought but maybe the oddsmakers will set it high based on their last two blowouts

MacGuyV 09-23-2007 08:31 PM

Re: Guessing Week 4 Lines
 
Here are my guesses:

Hou @ Atl +3
GB @ Minn +2.5
Oak @ Mia -5
Chi @ Det +3.5
St. L @ Dall -10
Balt @ Cle +5
Jets @ Buff +3.5
Sea @ SF +2
TB @ Car -3
KC @ SD -11.5
Den @ Indy -9
Pitt @ Ari +5
Phila @ NY +2.5
NE @ Cincy +5.5

Jazzy3113 09-23-2007 08:37 PM

Re: Guessing Week 4 Lines
 
[ QUOTE ]
Are these serious?

[/ QUOTE ]
why the hate?

I think the SD line wont go to far over a touchdown, and I think my lines will need to be adjusted if the bears or 'boys get a blowout.

MacGuyV 09-23-2007 08:39 PM

Re: Guessing Week 4 Lines
 
The Bears-Lions game is dependant on tonight's outcome obv.

Miami I think is better than Oakland on a neutral, so I have that a little higher.

Rams suck & everyone loves Dallas so that'll be high.

Chargers coming home after 2 tough roadies...that'll be high. KC was probably less impressive today than they were @Chicago last week.

Maybe I'm underestimating homefield in the Gints-Eagles game...historically I feel like it's not that important in that series (not just last yr)....Giants-Skins line was lower than expected for the same reason I think.


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