Re: Hand caught in the Cookie Jar
 

I think you should bet the river, throw down your hand face-up and say "ship it" and tip the dealer $1. Hopefully he'll misread your hand and muck.

Re: Hand caught in the Cookie Jar
 

[ QUOTE ]
He isn't folding a better hand on the river. I usually put in somewhere between 467 and 468 bets on this flop.

[/ QUOTE ]

By 467 and 468, I hope you mean 4 to 6 because by that time your hand turns from a probable coin flip to about a 3:2 dog.

Garland

Re: Hand caught in the Cookie Jar
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
He isn't folding a better hand on the river. I usually put in somewhere between 467 and 468 bets on this flop.

[/ QUOTE ]

By 467 and 468, I hope you mean 4 to 6 because by that time your hand turns from a probable coin flip to about a 3:2 dog.

Garland

[/ QUOTE ]

No, the 468th bet on the flop isn't for value anymore, its for a free river card if you miss! If you only flat call the 467th bet, your opponent will still donk any safe turn, which is -EV.

Re: Hand caught in the Cookie Jar
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
He isn't folding a better hand on the river. I usually put in somewhere between 467 and 468 bets on this flop.

[/ QUOTE ]

By 467 and 468, I hope you mean 4 to 6 because by that time your hand turns from a probable coin flip to about a 3:2 dog.

Garland

[/ QUOTE ]

No, the 468th bet on the flop isn't for value anymore, its for a free river card if you miss! If you only flat call the 467th bet, your opponent will still donk any safe turn, which is -EV.

[/ QUOTE ]

you're wrong. It's to increase our implied odds when we hit. By going 467 bets our opponent has to put us on middle set, so we're gonna get 350-400 raises in on the turn or river if we make a straight or a flush