Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
 

let us gogogogogogo

Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
 

Harumph!

Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
 

lol sorry...I looked but it was so far down I didn't notice it. Mods feel free to lock/delete one or the other - since this one's at the top now I say we just use this one rather than have them both up here - plus my thread is better obv [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
 

Yeah, that's fine. Just note my thoughts on the games I mentioned. Where do you see the Oregon line opening anyway? I'm thinking 16.5's kinda high the more I think about it. Maybe 15?

Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
 

any speculation on duke-ND. where is the game? (yes, lazy)... i really hope it's on TV. i think all ND's games are on (i do remember a few in recent years that haven't been)... EDIT: @ND on NBC @ 2:30

Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
 

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Kentucky/UGA line is WAYYYYYY too low imo

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But is it a LOCK? [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
 

[ QUOTE ]
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Kentucky/UGA line is WAYYYYYY too low imo

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But is it a LOCK? [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

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The only lock in Kentucky games is Rafael Little getting hurt.

Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
 

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Yeah, that's fine. Just note my thoughts on the games I mentioned. Where do you see the Oregon line opening anyway? I'm thinking 16.5's kinda high the more I think about it. Maybe 15?

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I don't know anything at all about Arizona, but I think 14.5 would generate balanced action.

West coast stuff is generally not my area of expertise, that is if I have one. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
 

Iggy's thoughts from the other thread:

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Northwestern at Illinois -10
Duke at Notre Dame -7.5
Ohio State -4 at Michigan
West Virginia -3 at Cincinnatti
Boston College at Clemson -7
Kentucky at Georgia -4.5
Oregon -16.5 at Arizona?
Hawaii -10 at Nevada?

The Hawaii and Nevada lines in particular are really hard to figure. I'd put a fair line on Hawaii/Nevada under a TD, but the public seems to love to bet up Hawaii and I'm not how big of an adjustment there will be for that here. Oregon should be favored by 20 according to Sagarin, but they probably aren't quite as good as that number would indicate. I could see this opening anywhere from 14 to 18.5.

Edit: I completely forgot about the Brennan injury. If he's questionable for Friday, we probably won't even see a line until Wednesday. If he's out, I'd put a fair line at Nevada -3.

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Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
 

I think 7.5 is too many for ND to be giving Duke. 6ish is more like it. Are we sure ND is better than Duke? They played similarly against Navy and are only 1 point apart in Sagarin.